Market Overview

Almost any way you measure it, the stock market is as overvalued today as it has ever been. Clearly, investors are not worried about the potential for inflation to prove problematic for monetary...

2% CPI is a headline you won't find in today's Wall Street Journal. The reason is that official inflation gauges, such as CPI, are in the mid to upper 2% range. Last Wednesday, for instance, the...

Stocks finished the day lower, following hotter-than-expected PPI data and some commentary from Jay Powell that caused traders to pare back bets on December and January rate cuts. The market now sees...

On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for October. Following the trend of the last three months, the inflation rate increased 0.2% on a...

CPI came in as expected yesterday, but that didn’t stop long-end rates from rising, with the 30-year up six bps and the 10-year up two bps. The dollar index also continued to melt up after the data,...

I said two months ago that I didn’t think the Fed should ease, but they would anyway. And they did, by cutting overnight rates 50bps. Then last month I said: “Getting rates back to neutral, around...

The closely watched U.S. October CPI report comes out today. Headline annual inflation is seen rising 2.6% and core CPI is forecast to increase 3.3%. Investors should brace for possible market...

Like Icarus, the stock market may be flying too close to the sun these days. The mood seems euphoric, with many headlines calling for further gains and analysts’ price targets reaching absurd levels....

Investor exuberance has rarely been so optimistic. In a recent post, we discussed investor expectations of returns over the next year, according to the Conference Board’s Sentiment Index. To...

Stocks ended the day mostly mixed. The technology sector was down, while small caps and financials were higher, leading to the S&P 500 finishing near flat. Dollar The bond market was closed...

Trump’s landslide victory sparks a USD $50 million win for a French bettor, while the S&P 500 sees its biggest surge in two years! Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last...

Maslow’s hierarchy of needs was a groundbreaking concept when it first appeared in 1943. American psychologist Abraham Maslow argued that certain basic needs—food, water, shelter, etc.—must be met...

Most traders wait for a pullback to enter. I don’t. Instead, I focus on timing my entries in specific trading windows for the Asia and New York sessions. Why? Because I want momentum on my side.  In...

What if the inflation problem has not actually been effectively addressed? It could have important implications for not only monetary but fiscal policy in the near future. This may be one reason...