Market Overview

The official first-quarter GDP report from the government that’s scheduled for Apr. 30 is expected to post a sharp slowdown in growth, based on the median estimate from several sources compiled by...

Trump’s tariff U-turn sparks huge risk rally. USD/JPY stuck in a volatile range with bearish bias. GBP/USD tight but watch for breakout setups. Silver prints key bullish reversal higher—$31 a key...

It took a few days and a near-bond market meltdown to break Trump, but he finally broke. As I noted yesterday, it was starting to look ugly out there, and by night, the bond market rollercoaster rise...

After Trump’s new tariffs, markets are on edge—again. But with the S&P 500 testing critical support, a rebound might still be possible. Meanwhile, gold shines as the only real safe haven amidst...

Is inflation or slower growth, and perhaps recession, the priority? This basic question hangs over the Federal Reserve as it grapples with deciding how to respond to global trade war. The risks shot...

For those of you with bearish nightmares, we share one important takeaway from Monday’s market roller coaster. While there is a good chance the market may explore new lows over the coming months, we...

Things are getting ugly, especially in rates and FX. Significant decoupling is occurring, indicating a potentially massive flight out of the U.S. and severe liquidity constraints now hitting the...

That is the billion-dollar question investors now face. One gauge to help us answer the question is corporate bond yield spreads. When the yield differential between corporate bond yields and...

Achieving financial independence and early retirement is a goal for many, but it requires strategic planning, disciplined saving, and careful investing. The idea of retiring early—whether in your...

President Trump declared a national emergency over trade deficits and imposed a 10% general tariff on all countries, effective 5 April, along with higher tariffs on nations with the largest US trade...

Ouch. Global markets are in freefall in response to President Donald Trump’s universal 10% tariff on all goods being imported into the U.S., with as many as 60 countries facing “reciprocal” tariffs...

A rising chorus of forecasts suggests as much. But for the moment, this is still guesswork as markets struggle to price in a dramatically altered macro outlook due to the rising risk of a global...

Last week, we noted that it would not be uncommon for the market to retest recent lows. That is what happened on Monday morning before rallying sharply off that level. However, that rally was...

While stagflation fears grip the market and make headlines, the bond market appears more concerned about ‘stag' than ‘flation.' Stagflation describes sluggish economic activity or a recession coupled...