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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jul 31, 2025 02:00
3
Weeks
1
Days
6
Hours
9
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
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Meeting Time:
Jul 31, 2025 02:00
Future Price:
95.673
4.00 - 4.25
3.2%
4.25 - 4.50
96.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 3.2% | 6.4% | 21.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 96.8% | 93.6% | 78.6% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 18, 2025 02:00
Future Price:
95.750
3.75 - 4.00
2.0%
4.00 - 4.25
61.2%
4.25 - 4.50
36.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 2.0% | 3.8% | 19.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 61.2% | 58.5% | 74.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 36.8% | 37.6% | 5.9% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 30, 2025 02:00
Future Price:
95.850
3.50 - 3.75
1.2%
3.75 - 4.00
38.7%
4.00 - 4.25
46.1%
4.25 - 4.50
14.0%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 15.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 38.7% | 39.0% | 62.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 46.1% | 45.1% | 21.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 14.0% | 13.5% | 1.3% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 11, 2025 03:00
Future Price:
96.115
3.25 - 3.50
0.8%
3.50 - 3.75
26.3%
3.75 - 4.00
43.6%
4.00 - 4.25
24.6%
4.25 - 4.50
4.6%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 11.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 26.3% | 26.9% | 51.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 43.6% | 43.1% | 30.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 24.6% | 23.9% | 5.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 27, 2026 03:00
Future Price:
96.175
3.00 - 3.25
0.4%
3.25 - 3.50
12.8%
3.50 - 3.75
34.5%
3.75 - 4.00
34.7%
4.00 - 4.25
15.2%
4.25 - 4.50
2.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 6.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 12.8% | 13.5% | 33.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 34.5% | 34.5% | 40.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 34.7% | 34.1% | 17.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 15.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 19, 2026 02:00
Future Price:
96.325
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
7.1%
3.25 - 3.50
24.5%
3.50 - 3.75
34.6%
3.75 - 4.00
24.2%
4.00 - 4.25
8.3%
4.25 - 4.50
1.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 3.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 7.1% | 7.9% | 22.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 24.5% | 25.2% | 37.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 34.6% | 34.3% | 26.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 24.2% | 23.3% | 8.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price:
96.410
2.75 - 3.00
2.4%
3.00 - 3.25
12.7%
3.25 - 3.50
27.7%
3.50 - 3.75
31.2%
3.75 - 4.00
19.1%
4.00 - 4.25
6.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 9.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 12.7% | 13.8% | 27.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 27.7% | 28.3% | 33.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 31.2% | 30.5% | 20.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 19.1% | 18.0% | 6.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 6.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 18, 2026 02:00
Future Price:
96.545
2.50 - 2.75
1.3%
2.75 - 3.00
7.9%
3.00 - 3.25
20.7%
3.25 - 3.50
29.6%
3.50 - 3.75
24.8%
3.75 - 4.00
12.2%
4.00 - 4.25
3.2%
4.25 - 4.50
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.8% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 7.9% | 8.5% | 19.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 20.7% | 21.2% | 30.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 29.6% | 29.4% | 26.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 24.8% | 24.1% | 13.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 12.2% | 11.6% | 3.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price:
96.630
2.25 - 2.50
0.4%
2.50 - 2.75
3.3%
2.75 - 3.00
11.8%
3.00 - 3.25
23.4%
3.25 - 3.50
28.1%
3.50 - 3.75
20.9%
3.75 - 4.00
9.4%
4.00 - 4.25
2.3%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.4% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 10.2% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 11.8% | 12.5% | 23.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 23.4% | 23.8% | 29.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 28.1% | 27.8% | 22.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 20.9% | 20.3% | 9.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 9.4% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2026 02:00
Future Price:
96.740
2.00 - 2.25
0.2%
2.25 - 2.50
1.4%
2.50 - 2.75
6.3%
2.75 - 3.00
15.9%
3.00 - 3.25
25.1%
3.25 - 3.50
25.6%
3.50 - 3.75
16.9%
3.75 - 4.00
6.9%
4.00 - 4.25
1.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.9% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 6.3% | 6.4% | 14.4% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 15.9% | 15.9% | 25.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.1% | 25.0% | 27.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.6% | 25.5% | 18.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 16.9% | 16.8% | 7.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 6.9% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2026 02:00
Future Price:
96.790
2.00 - 2.25
0.3%
2.25 - 2.50
1.9%
2.50 - 2.75
7.2%
2.75 - 3.00
16.7%
3.00 - 3.25
25.1%
3.25 - 3.50
24.8%
3.50 - 3.75
16.0%
3.75 - 4.00
6.4%
4.00 - 4.25
1.5%
4.25 - 4.50
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.8% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 7.2% | 7.3% | 14.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 16.7% | 16.8% | 24.6% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.1% | 25.0% | 27.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 24.8% | 24.7% | 18.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 16.0% | 15.9% | 7.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2026 03:00
Future Price:
96.830
2.00 - 2.25
0.5%
2.25 - 2.50
2.6%
2.50 - 2.75
8.5%
2.75 - 3.00
17.9%
3.00 - 3.25
25.1%
3.25 - 3.50
23.6%
3.50 - 3.75
14.6%
3.75 - 4.00
5.8%
4.00 - 4.25
1.3%
4.25 - 4.50
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 8.5% | 8.6% | 15.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 17.9% | 17.9% | 24.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.1% | 25.0% | 26.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 23.6% | 23.4% | 17.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 14.6% | 14.6% | 7.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 08, 2025 19:25 CST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar falls to multi-year lows; rate cuts, trade deals and tax bill in focus
By Investing.com - Jul 01, 2025
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar retreated further Tuesday, falling to multi-year lows on growing expectations of interest rate cuts, while President Donald Trump’s spending bill stoked fiscal...
Dollar retreats on rate cut optimism; euro close to multi-year high
By Investing.com - Jun 30, 2025
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar fell Monday, remaining close to multi-year lows and weighed by optimism over trade deals as well as growing expectations of the Federal reserve cutting interest rates...
European stocks rise on boosted global sentiment; key inflation data due
By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025
Investing.com - European stocks rose Friday, ending the week on an optimistic note after weathering a few weeks of heightened Middle East tensions and uncertainties over tariffs. At 04:10 ET (07:10...
Analysis
USD/JPY Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Growing Tariff Pressure, Diverging CB Policies
By Damian Nowiszewski - Jul 08, 2025
USD/JPY remains range-bound, but further dollar weakness could push it toward 148 yen. Key support levels at 145 and 144 yen may attract buyers in the short term. BOJ faces pressure as tariffs risk...
Can Trump’s ‘Run It Hot’ Plan Trap the Fed and Jolt the Bond Market?
By Alfonso Peccatiello - Jul 07, 2025
Trump wants to run the economy hot to grow out of debt. So, what are the implications for markets? The Trump administration's plan for the next 12 months could look like the following: 1) More...
Stock Market Highs Mask the Debt Engine Beneath: Crack-Up Boom in Real Time?
By Gary Tanashian - Jul 04, 2025
Credit expansion, AKA more and more debt, into von Mises‘ Crack-Up-Boom would bring Stagflation at best, and Hyperinflation at worst in the not too distant future Today’s better than expected...