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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 20, 2025 02:00

5 Weeks 2 Days 12 Hours 24 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Mar 20, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.680
4.00 - 4.25
8.0%
4.25 - 4.50
92.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.00 - 4.25 8.0% 16.0% 16.0%
4.25 - 4.50 92.0% 84.0% 84.0%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: May 08, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.735
3.75 - 4.00
1.5%
4.00 - 4.25
23.2%
4.25 - 4.50
75.3%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.75 - 4.00 1.5% 4.0% 4.1%
4.00 - 4.25 23.2% 32.9% 33.4%
4.25 - 4.50 75.3% 63.2% 62.5%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.775
3.50 - 3.75
0.5%
3.75 - 4.00
9.4%
4.00 - 4.25
42.3%
4.25 - 4.50
47.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.50 - 3.75 0.5% 1.6% 1.9%
3.75 - 4.00 9.4% 15.4% 17.9%
4.00 - 4.25 42.3% 44.9% 47.1%
4.25 - 4.50 47.7% 38.1% 33.1%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.830
3.25 - 3.50
0.1%
3.50 - 3.75
2.2%
3.75 - 4.00
15.8%
4.00 - 4.25
43.4%
4.25 - 4.50
38.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.25 - 3.50 0.1% 0.4% 0.4%
3.50 - 3.75 2.2% 4.8% 5.3%
3.75 - 4.00 15.8% 22.4% 24.1%
4.00 - 4.25 43.4% 43.3% 44.1%
4.25 - 4.50 38.5% 29.1% 26.0%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.905
3.25 - 3.50
0.7%
3.50 - 3.75
6.1%
3.75 - 4.00
23.6%
4.00 - 4.25
42.0%
4.25 - 4.50
27.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.00 - 3.25 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
3.25 - 3.50 0.7% 1.7% 1.9%
3.50 - 3.75 6.1% 10.1% 11.0%
3.75 - 4.00 23.6% 28.7% 30.2%
4.00 - 4.25 42.0% 39.0% 38.6%
4.25 - 4.50 27.6% 20.3% 18.2%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.950
3.00 - 3.25
0.1%
3.25 - 3.50
1.7%
3.50 - 3.75
9.2%
3.75 - 4.00
26.8%
4.00 - 4.25
39.5%
4.25 - 4.50
22.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.1% 0.4% 0.4%
3.25 - 3.50 1.7% 3.2% 3.5%
3.50 - 3.75 9.2% 13.4% 14.4%
3.75 - 4.00 26.8% 30.5% 31.7%
4.00 - 4.25 39.5% 35.7% 35.0%
4.25 - 4.50 22.7% 16.7% 14.9%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Dec 11, 2025 03:00
Future Price: 96.025
3.00 - 3.25
0.5%
3.25 - 3.50
3.2%
3.50 - 3.75
12.7%
3.75 - 4.00
29.4%
4.00 - 4.25
36.1%
4.25 - 4.50
18.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
3.00 - 3.25 0.5% 1.0% 1.0%
3.25 - 3.50 3.2% 5.5% 5.5%
3.50 - 3.75 12.7% 17.2% 17.6%
3.75 - 4.00 29.4% 31.7% 32.3%
4.00 - 4.25 36.1% 31.5% 31.3%
4.25 - 4.50 18.2% 13.0% 12.2%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jan 27, 2026 03:00
Future Price: 96.045
3.00 - 3.25
0.7%
3.25 - 3.50
4.1%
3.50 - 3.75
14.4%
3.75 - 4.00
30.0%
4.00 - 4.25
34.3%
4.25 - 4.50
16.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
3.00 - 3.25 0.7% 1.5% 1.3%
3.25 - 3.50 4.1% 6.6% 6.4%
3.50 - 3.75 14.4% 18.6% 18.7%
3.75 - 4.00 30.0% 31.7% 32.2%
4.00 - 4.25 34.3% 29.7% 29.9%
4.25 - 4.50 16.4% 11.7% 11.3%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Mar 19, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.075
2.75 - 3.00
0.1%
3.00 - 3.25
1.1%
3.25 - 3.50
5.1%
3.50 - 3.75
15.9%
3.75 - 4.00
30.4%
4.00 - 4.25
32.6%
4.25 - 4.50
14.8%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.1% 0.4% 0.2%
3.00 - 3.25 1.1% 2.4% 1.6%
3.25 - 3.50 5.1% 8.8% 7.2%
3.50 - 3.75 15.9% 21.0% 19.5%
3.75 - 4.00 30.4% 31.3% 32.1%
4.00 - 4.25 32.6% 26.4% 28.8%
4.25 - 4.50 14.8% 9.6% 10.6%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Apr 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.090
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.2%
3.25 - 3.50
5.6%
3.50 - 3.75
16.5%
3.75 - 4.00
30.5%
4.00 - 4.25
31.8%
4.25 - 4.50
14.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.2% 0.4% 0.3%
3.00 - 3.25 1.2% 2.3% 1.8%
3.25 - 3.50 5.6% 8.4% 7.4%
3.50 - 3.75 16.5% 20.3% 19.8%
3.75 - 4.00 30.5% 30.6% 32.0%
4.00 - 4.25 31.8% 26.7% 28.4%
4.25 - 4.50 14.2% 10.7% 10.4%
4.50 - 4.75 0.6%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jun 18, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.100
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.3%
3.25 - 3.50
5.9%
3.50 - 3.75
16.9%
3.75 - 4.00
30.6%
4.00 - 4.25
31.3%
4.25 - 4.50
13.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.75 - 2.00
2.00 - 2.25 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.2% 0.6% 0.3%
3.00 - 3.25 1.3% 3.1% 1.9%
3.25 - 3.50 5.9% 10.0% 7.8%
3.50 - 3.75 16.9% 21.6% 20.1%
3.75 - 4.00 30.6% 30.1% 31.9%
4.00 - 4.25 31.3% 24.6% 27.9%
4.25 - 4.50 13.7% 9.4% 10.1%
4.50 - 4.75 0.5%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jul 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.105
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.2%
3.25 - 3.50
5.5%
3.50 - 3.75
15.9%
3.75 - 4.00
29.4%
4.00 - 4.25
31.2%
4.25 - 4.50
15.3%
4.50 - 4.75
1.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.75 - 2.00
2.00 - 2.25 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.2% 0.6% 0.3%
3.00 - 3.25 1.2% 2.9% 1.8%
3.25 - 3.50 5.5% 9.3% 7.3%
3.50 - 3.75 15.9% 20.6% 19.0%
3.75 - 4.00 29.4% 29.4% 30.9%
4.00 - 4.25 31.2% 25.1% 28.2%
4.25 - 4.50 15.3% 10.7% 11.7%
4.50 - 4.75 1.2% 1.3% 0.9%
4.75 - 5.00 0.0%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Sep 17, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.085
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.4%
3.25 - 3.50
5.8%
3.50 - 3.75
16.4%
3.75 - 4.00
29.4%
4.00 - 4.25
30.7%
4.25 - 4.50
14.9%
4.50 - 4.75
1.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.75 - 2.00
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.2% 0.7% 0.3%
3.00 - 3.25 1.4% 3.1% 2.0%
3.25 - 3.50 5.8% 9.7% 7.6%
3.50 - 3.75 16.4% 20.8% 19.4%
3.75 - 4.00 29.4% 29.2% 30.8%
4.00 - 4.25 30.7% 24.6% 27.7%
4.25 - 4.50 14.9% 10.4% 11.3%
4.50 - 4.75 1.2% 1.3% 0.9%
4.75 - 5.00 0.0%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Oct 29, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.090
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.3%
3.25 - 3.50
5.4%
3.50 - 3.75
15.4%
3.75 - 4.00
28.2%
4.00 - 4.25
30.6%
4.25 - 4.50
16.3%
4.50 - 4.75
2.4%
4.75 - 5.00
0.1%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.75 - 2.00
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.2% 0.6% 0.3%
3.00 - 3.25 1.3% 2.8% 1.8%
3.25 - 3.50 5.4% 9.1% 7.1%
3.50 - 3.75 15.4% 19.8% 18.3%
3.75 - 4.00 28.2% 28.5% 29.7%
4.00 - 4.25 30.6% 25.1% 28.0%
4.25 - 4.50 16.3% 11.7% 12.8%
4.50 - 4.75 2.4% 2.1% 1.8%
4.75 - 5.00 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
5.00 - 5.25 0.0%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST
Meeting Time: Dec 10, 2026 03:00
Future Price: 96.225
2.50 - 2.75
0.1%
2.75 - 3.00
0.8%
3.00 - 3.25
3.6%
3.25 - 3.50
11.0%
3.50 - 3.75
22.6%
3.75 - 4.00
29.6%
4.00 - 4.25
22.6%
4.25 - 4.50
8.5%
4.50 - 4.75
1.1%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.50 - 1.75
1.75 - 2.00 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.1% 0.4% 0.2%
2.75 - 3.00 0.8% 1.9% 1.3%
3.00 - 3.25 3.6% 6.3% 5.4%
3.25 - 3.50 11.0% 15.1% 14.7%
3.50 - 3.75 22.6% 24.7% 26.1%
3.75 - 4.00 29.6% 26.6% 28.5%
4.00 - 4.25 22.6% 17.6% 17.7%
4.25 - 4.50 8.5% 6.3% 5.3%
4.50 - 4.75 1.1% 1.0% 0.6%
4.75 - 5.00 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
5.00 - 5.25 0.0%
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 13:35 CST

Fed Fund Rates

News

Dollar soars on tariffs announcement; euro hit hard
Dollar soars on tariffs announcement; euro hit hard By Investing.com - Feb 03, 2025

Investing.com - The US dollar surged higher Monday, climbing to a three-week high after US President Donald Trump delivered on his threat of more trade tariffs, boosting demand for the safe haven. At...

Dollar rises on tariffs threat; euro weakens post ECB
Dollar rises on tariffs threat; euro weakens post ECB By Investing.com - Jan 31, 2025

Investing.com - The US dollar rose Friday following fresh tariff threats from US President Donald Trump, while the euro stayed weak after an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank. At 04:00 ET...

Analysis

Lance Roberts
Forecasting Errors Could Put Fed on Wrong Side Again By Lance Roberts - Feb 07, 2025

The Federal Reserve’s record of forecasting has frequently led it to respond too late to changes in economic and financial conditions. In the most recent FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve changed its...

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