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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision May 08, 2025 02:00

6 Weeks 4 Days 23 Hours 12 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: May 08, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.710
4.00 - 4.25
9.6%
4.25 - 4.50
90.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.00 - 4.25 9.6% 13.5% 27.7%
4.25 - 4.50 90.4% 86.5% 72.3%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.780
3.75 - 4.00
7.6%
4.00 - 4.25
73.7%
4.25 - 4.50
18.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.75 - 4.00 7.6% 8.9% 19.4%
4.00 - 4.25 73.7% 61.5% 58.9%
4.25 - 4.50 18.7% 29.6% 21.7%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.900
3.50 - 3.75
3.6%
3.75 - 4.00
38.7%
4.00 - 4.25
47.8%
4.25 - 4.50
9.9%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.50 - 3.75 3.6% 3.8% 7.0%
3.75 - 4.00 38.7% 31.4% 33.7%
4.00 - 4.25 47.8% 47.9% 45.4%
4.25 - 4.50 9.9% 17.0% 13.8%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 96.080
3.25 - 3.50
2.3%
3.50 - 3.75
26.2%
3.75 - 4.00
44.6%
4.00 - 4.25
23.4%
4.25 - 4.50
3.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.25 - 3.50 2.3% 2.4% 4.2%
3.50 - 3.75 26.2% 21.1% 22.8%
3.75 - 4.00 44.6% 41.7% 40.6%
4.00 - 4.25 23.4% 28.5% 26.8%
4.25 - 4.50 3.5% 6.4% 5.7%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 96.180
3.00 - 3.25
0.9%
3.25 - 3.50
11.3%
3.50 - 3.75
33.1%
3.75 - 4.00
36.6%
4.00 - 4.25
15.9%
4.25 - 4.50
2.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.00 - 3.25 0.9% 0.8% 1.3%
3.25 - 3.50 11.3% 9.0% 9.9%
3.50 - 3.75 33.1% 28.4% 28.3%
3.75 - 4.00 36.6% 37.0% 36.3%
4.00 - 4.25 15.9% 20.7% 20.2%
4.25 - 4.50 2.2% 4.1% 3.9%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Dec 11, 2025 03:00
Future Price: 96.345
2.75 - 3.00
0.4%
3.00 - 3.25
5.7%
3.25 - 3.50
21.5%
3.50 - 3.75
34.7%
3.75 - 4.00
27.0%
4.00 - 4.25
9.5%
4.25 - 4.50
1.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.75 - 3.00 0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
3.00 - 3.25 5.7% 4.6% 4.5%
3.25 - 3.50 21.5% 18.0% 16.8%
3.50 - 3.75 34.7% 32.4% 31.3%
3.75 - 4.00 27.0% 29.4% 30.3%
4.00 - 4.25 9.5% 12.9% 14.1%
4.25 - 4.50 1.2% 2.2% 2.4%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Jan 27, 2026 03:00
Future Price: 96.385
2.75 - 3.00
1.3%
3.00 - 3.25
8.5%
3.25 - 3.50
23.8%
3.50 - 3.75
33.4%
3.75 - 4.00
23.9%
4.00 - 4.25
8.1%
4.25 - 4.50
1.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.50 - 2.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
2.75 - 3.00 1.3% 1.1% 1.0%
3.00 - 3.25 8.5% 7.0% 6.1%
3.25 - 3.50 23.8% 20.5% 18.6%
3.50 - 3.75 33.4% 31.9% 31.2%
3.75 - 4.00 23.9% 26.5% 28.3%
4.00 - 4.25 8.1% 11.1% 12.6%
4.25 - 4.50 1.0% 1.8% 2.1%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Mar 19, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.460
2.50 - 2.75
0.5%
2.75 - 3.00
3.8%
3.00 - 3.25
13.9%
3.25 - 3.50
27.2%
3.50 - 3.75
30.1%
3.75 - 4.00
18.3%
4.00 - 4.25
5.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
2.75 - 3.00 3.8% 3.2% 2.1%
3.00 - 3.25 13.9% 11.8% 8.8%
3.25 - 3.50 27.2% 24.5% 21.3%
3.50 - 3.75 30.1% 30.0% 30.6%
3.75 - 4.00 18.3% 21.1% 24.9%
4.00 - 4.25 5.6% 7.8% 10.4%
4.25 - 4.50 0.6% 1.2% 1.7%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Apr 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.515
2.50 - 2.75
0.9%
2.75 - 3.00
4.9%
3.00 - 3.25
15.3%
3.25 - 3.50
27.5%
3.50 - 3.75
28.8%
3.75 - 4.00
17.0%
4.00 - 4.25
5.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
2.75 - 3.00 4.9% 4.1% 2.6%
3.00 - 3.25 15.3% 13.1% 9.8%
3.25 - 3.50 27.5% 25.1% 22.1%
3.50 - 3.75 28.8% 29.0% 30.1%
3.75 - 4.00 17.0% 19.7% 23.7%
4.00 - 4.25 5.0% 7.1% 9.6%
4.25 - 4.50 0.6% 1.0% 1.5%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Jun 18, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.510
2.50 - 2.75
0.9%
2.75 - 3.00
5.1%
3.00 - 3.25
15.5%
3.25 - 3.50
27.5%
3.50 - 3.75
28.6%
3.75 - 4.00
16.8%
4.00 - 4.25
5.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
2.50 - 2.75 0.9% 1.3% 1.3%
2.75 - 3.00 5.1% 5.7% 5.3%
3.00 - 3.25 15.5% 15.2% 14.5%
3.25 - 3.50 27.5% 25.8% 25.1%
3.50 - 3.75 28.6% 27.4% 27.7%
3.75 - 4.00 16.8% 17.5% 18.4%
4.00 - 4.25 5.0% 6.0% 6.6%
4.25 - 4.50 0.6% 0.9% 1.0%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Jul 30, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.545
2.25 - 2.50
0.1%
2.50 - 2.75
1.2%
2.75 - 3.00
5.8%
3.00 - 3.25
16.3%
3.25 - 3.50
27.6%
3.50 - 3.75
27.8%
3.75 - 4.00
16.0%
4.00 - 4.25
4.7%
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.50 - 1.75
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.1% 0.3% 0.2%
2.50 - 2.75 1.2% 1.6% 1.4%
2.75 - 3.00 5.8% 6.3% 5.8%
3.00 - 3.25 16.3% 15.9% 14.9%
3.25 - 3.50 27.6% 25.9% 25.2%
3.50 - 3.75 27.8% 26.8% 27.3%
3.75 - 4.00 16.0% 16.7% 17.9%
4.00 - 4.25 4.7% 5.7% 6.3%
4.25 - 4.50 0.5% 0.8% 0.9%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Sep 17, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.560
2.25 - 2.50
0.2%
2.50 - 2.75
1.3%
2.75 - 3.00
6.1%
3.00 - 3.25
16.6%
3.25 - 3.50
27.6%
3.50 - 3.75
27.5%
3.75 - 4.00
15.7%
4.00 - 4.25
4.5%
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.25 - 1.50
1.50 - 1.75
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
2.50 - 2.75 1.3% 1.8% 1.6%
2.75 - 3.00 6.1% 6.6% 6.0%
3.00 - 3.25 16.6% 16.2% 15.3%
3.25 - 3.50 27.6% 25.9% 25.3%
3.50 - 3.75 27.5% 26.4% 27.0%
3.75 - 4.00 15.7% 16.4% 17.5%
4.00 - 4.25 4.5% 5.5% 6.2%
4.25 - 4.50 0.5% 0.8% 0.9%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Oct 29, 2026 02:00
Future Price: 96.565
2.25 - 2.50
0.2%
2.50 - 2.75
1.2%
2.75 - 3.00
5.7%
3.00 - 3.25
15.7%
3.25 - 3.50
26.6%
3.50 - 3.75
27.5%
3.75 - 4.00
16.7%
4.00 - 4.25
5.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.9%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.25 - 1.50
1.50 - 1.75
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
2.50 - 2.75 1.2% 1.6% 1.5%
2.75 - 3.00 5.7% 6.2% 5.6%
3.00 - 3.25 15.7% 15.3% 14.4%
3.25 - 3.50 26.6% 25.0% 24.4%
3.50 - 3.75 27.5% 26.4% 26.8%
3.75 - 4.00 16.7% 17.3% 18.4%
4.00 - 4.25 5.6% 6.5% 7.2%
4.25 - 4.50 0.9% 1.2% 1.4%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST
Meeting Time: Dec 10, 2026 03:00
Future Price: 96.700
2.25 - 2.50
0.8%
2.50 - 2.75
3.7%
2.75 - 3.00
11.3%
3.00 - 3.25
21.8%
3.25 - 3.50
27.1%
3.50 - 3.75
21.5%
3.75 - 4.00
10.5%
4.00 - 4.25
2.9%
4.25 - 4.50
0.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.25 - 1.50
1.50 - 1.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
2.25 - 2.50 0.8% 1.0% 0.9%
2.50 - 2.75 3.7% 4.2% 3.8%
2.75 - 3.00 11.3% 11.3% 10.5%
3.00 - 3.25 21.8% 20.8% 20.0%
3.25 - 3.50 27.1% 25.8% 25.7%
3.50 - 3.75 21.5% 21.3% 22.1%
3.75 - 4.00 10.5% 11.3% 12.1%
4.00 - 4.25 2.9% 3.6% 3.9%
4.25 - 4.50 0.4% 0.6% 0.6%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:25 CST

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