Market Overview

I was emailed several times about a recent Morningstar article about J.P. Morgan’s warning of lower forward returns for the S&P 500 over the next decade. That was followed up by numerous emails...

After a 50bp rate cut last month, market speculation surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next move is ramping up – and as the looming presidential election adds yet another layer of uncertainty to the...

When I am asked about my view as to how markets work, I try to simplify it to the lowest common denominator. So, while many will express their opinion on market drivers in relation to the Fed, or...

The U.S. treasury bond market is one of the largest and most important in the world. And with interest rates becoming a daily topic of conversation with investors, it’s a must-watch now. And even...

Will the two hurricanes that hit the US Southeast region recently weigh on the upcoming third-quarter GDP data? Probably, although for the moment the impact is expected to be minimal, based on set of...

The Mayo Clinic defines Post Traumatic Stress Disorder, or PTSD, as “a mental health condition that’s caused by an extremely stressful or terrifying event — either being part of it or witnessing...

Macro clouds remain on the horizon. Wherever you look at, you see unsustainable economic models: we are either relying on debt-fueled growth (US), trying to squeeze exhausted growth models (China),...

Yes, that has been our advice since mid-August. Our August 19, 2024 Morning Briefing was titled, "Get Ready To Short Bonds?" We wrote: "Bond investors may be expecting too many interest-rate cuts...

The market environment has changed dramatically from that which defined the past two decades. Interest rates are significantly higher which should bring equity valuations down though that is not the...

In times of disaster and destruction, a common narrative often emerges that rebuilding efforts will lead to economic growth. The idea that repairing damage and replacing destroyed goods creates jobs...

Recent economic data has lifted CapitalSpectator.com’s median growth estimate for the upcoming third-quarter GDP report. Using a variety of sources to generate a median nowcast, today’s revision...

Yesterday, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model raised Q3's real GDP growth rate from 3.2% to 3.4% following a roaring September retail sales report (chart). Real consumer spending was revised up...

The luxury of labour hoarding is coming to an end in the eurozone as corporate profits dwindle. And that’s going to mean wage growth will ease, unemployment will tick up and we’ll see more...

The US economy continues to defy the recession forecasts that received much attention in the summer. The primary drivers of economic resilience: strong growth in payrolls and consumer spending. By...