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Michael Lebowitz
Confidence Is the Underappreciated Economic Engine By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 10, 2024

Ask economists how they forecast economic activity. It’s likely they will mention productivity, demographics, debt, the Fed, interest rates, and a litany of other elements. Economic confidence is...

Chris Kimble
Stock-to-Bond Ratio Testing Important Price Support By Chris Kimble - Aug 09, 2024

It’s important for investors to follow stocks and bonds. And even more important to understand the relationship between them.   Today, we highlight the past 20-years of there relationship via the...

James Picerno
No Recession for Now, But Downturn Risks May Be Rising By James Picerno - Aug 06, 2024

Judging by the current numbers, the US expansion almost certainly endures. There are well-founded concerns that the tide may be turning, but that’s still a speculative call. By comparison, published...

Michael Ashton
The Effect of Time on Trump’s Win Likelihood By Michael Ashton - Aug 01, 2024

Not everybody is an options trader, but during an election year there is at least one binary option that most of us care quite a bit about and that’s the option on the US Presidency. There are ways...

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