Market Overview

The Fed hiked rates above 5%, and yet the US economy didn't break.Back in 2022 already, the yield curve inverted and it has stayed inverted ever since. The lags looked relatively short, and the US...

Stocks finished higher yesterday, no surprise, given that implied volatility levels fell sharply from yesterday’s closing once the CPI report was released. The CPI report itself seemed pretty...

The CPI for April came in pretty close to expectations. CPI came in at 0.31% m/m, and 0.29% on core, versus a priori expectations for 0.37% and 0.30%. This relative accuracy does not necessarily mean...

The bulls cleared another hurdle. The first-quarter earnings season has been strong. With 92% of S&P 500 companies reporting, the EPS beat rate is 78%, near the five-year average.More impressive...

Since the pandemic-related bazooka of fiscal stimulus, the outstanding Federal debt has risen appreciably. In nominal dollar terms, the recent debt surge is mindboggling. However, the increase is on...

The highly anticipated April CPI report comes out on Wednesday morning with the S&P 500 trading just below its all-time high. Headline annual inflation is seen rising 3.4% and core CPI is forecast...

US consumer inflation data was surprisingly firm in March, raising the stakes for tomorrow’s April report (Wed., May 15). Another round of disappointing numbers would arguably confirm that the...

While there is much debate over whether another bear market is imminent, weekly moving average crossovers suggest a different outcome for now. There are many current concerns, from geopolitical risk...

As an advocate of sound fiscal policy and a strong believer in the power of free markets, I find Argentina's recent economic overhaul under President Javier Milei not just refreshing but essential in...

It has been many years since investors had such an affordable option to safeguard themselves against a market downturn. However, there are several factors indicating a continued market uptrend. Ready...

Stocks closed flattish on Friday after a weaker-than-expected University of Michigan report showed that consumer confidence plunged and inflation expectations rose.The report caused a rather sharp...

When the yield curve flattens and eventually inverts, you worry.But it’s when a recession hits, the Fed cuts rates and the curve steepens that you become s**t scared. Yield curve dynamics...

When it comes to the financial markets, investors have a litany of investment vehicles to choose from. The choices are nearly unlimited, from brokered certificates of deposit to complex derivative...

Investors are gearing up for what is expected to be an eventful week ahead. CPI inflation and retail sales data will be in focus. In addition, Home Depot and Walmart report quarterly earnings. Looking...