Market Overview

As FOMC rides into the sunset until March, the US Dollar Index is left to fend for itself amid the hawkish (or at least not yet dovish) echos of Jerome Powell’s assertion that the market should...

The Fed disappointed markets yesterday, crushing March rate-cut hopes. This should have been expected as the central bank's priority is to eliminate any possibility of inflation returning. As...

By Padhraic GarveyWe are a bit surprised the market has not moved more on the Fed’s firm preference for a holding pattern on rates. Bottom line we see pressure for yields to edge higher on a...

Part One of this series led with a graph implying that we are embarking on an inflation rollercoaster for the next ten years, similar to the experience of 1965 to 1982.Parts One and Two explained the...

Will last week’s news of substantially stronger-than-expected growth for US economic output in 2023’s fourth quarter extend into this year’s Q1?It’s too soon to make...

The Federal Reserve is all but certain to leave rates unchanged at its January FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Powell could strike a more hawkish tone than expected in the post-meeting press conference. As...

This week is huge: revisions to 2023 CPI, US labor market print, the Fed, and, most importantly, the Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) everyone talks about.So I thought I’d share an initial...

This week will be busy, and if you are taking time off, don’t.The news starts Monday afternoon and runs through Friday morning, and all of it will impact where stocks and rates go from here...

As money market account balances soar, the mainstream media again proclaims, “There is $6 trillion of cash on the sidelines just waiting to come into the market.”No? Well, here it is...

Driven by robust consumer spending, US GDP grew faster than anticipated in Q4 2023. The US gross domestic product (GDP), a key indicator of economic growth, grew slower in Q4 than the previous...

Stocks finished higher, with the S&P 500 climbing by 0.08% on the day. Yesterday was not boring. It was very interesting and exciting in some ways to see how things are coming together, as I noted...

The Bureau of Economic Analysis appears set to report tomorrow (Jan. 25) that US output slowed sharply in the fourth quarter after Q3’s unusually strong gain.But Thursday’s GDP report is...

Investing.com recently hosted an educational webinar introducing ProTips, a revolutionary tool designed to simplify the stock market. ProTips are the newest way to help you make smart and informed...

Part One of this series highlights how the government’s fixation with full employment and the Fed’s belief in the faulty Phillips Curve model from 1965 to 1982 fueled multiple bouts of...