Market Overview

Markets are bracing for a key CPI report today. This data comes amid growing recession fears after weak labor market data. A lower-than-expected print could drive a stock rally, but a...

Stocks finished the day higher yesterday after a weaker-than-expected PPI report. Although rates fell, it didn’t result in a significant yield curve steepening, and the dollar was only slightly...

Early assessments of third-quarter economic activity for the US point to a slowdown vs. Q2, based on the median nowcast for estimates compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. The downshift is prominent, but...

The S&P 500 ended the day unchanged, held steady by Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) 4% surge. Despite Nvidia's strong performance, the broader market struggled, with 342 stocks declining versus just 159...

Last Monday, global equities and digital assets underwent a dramatic selloff as the unwinding of the Japanese yen carry trade rattled markets. The S&P Global Broad Market Index (BMI), which...

The European and US markets are rapidly progressing, shedding all the worries from the previous week's price action. Traders are eager to seize bargains, while others maintain the belief that the...

Ask economists how they forecast economic activity. It’s likely they will mention productivity, demographics, debt, the Fed, interest rates, and a litany of other elements. Economic confidence is...

A Universal Basic Income (UBI) sounds great in theory. According to a previous study by the Roosevelt Institute, it could permanently increase the U.S. economy by trillions of dollars. While such...

The stock market appeared confused yesterday, reacting to the weekly jobless claims and continuing claims data as if the CPI report had come in 0.4% cooler than expected. The market has been trying...

It’s important for investors to follow stocks and bonds. And even more important to understand the relationship between them.   Today, we highlight the past 20-years of there relationship via the...

Judging by the current numbers, the US expansion almost certainly endures. There are well-founded concerns that the tide may be turning, but that’s still a speculative call. By comparison, published...

US stocks took another hit yesterday as the carry trade unwound and the effect was felt in Japan when the Nikkei 225 plunged. Since then, the Nikkei has rebounded 10.2%, almost erasing the 12.4%...

The Sahm Rule is getting airplay, but Sahm is not what I am, it is just one non-exceptional and somewhat lagging indicator of the coming recession. “We are pointed toward recessionary...

Economist Claudia Sahm developed the “Sahm Rule,” which states that the economy is in recession when the unemployment rate’s three-month average is a half percentage point above its 12-month low. As...