Market Overview

Immigration is once again making headlines (has it ever stopped?), and it's not just the sheer numbers that have people talking. Concerns about mass immigration—both legal and illegal—have dominated...

The Chinese real estate market is de-leveraging very hard. Economists estimate Chinese households have suffered $10+ trillion of wealth losses as a result. There is now a strong urge to stop the...

Between France’s increasing yields and the UK’s colossal debt-to-GDP ratio, Europe is facing difficulties financing itself. Meanwhile, SNB head bows out with a last rate cut and China unveils its...

The resonance of summer warnings that the US economy is on the precipice of recession continues to fade from the perspective of the upcoming third-quarter GDP report. The latest run of numbers...

Stocks edged higher last week, with the S&P 500 hitting multiple record highs as investors welcomed signs of easing inflation alongside steady economic growth. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on...

On Tuesday, China announced a raft of policies aimed at boosting the economy and encouraging consumption. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cut its seven-day reverse repo rate from 1.7% to 1.5%. The...

With the US presidential elections just a few weeks away, we take a look at the economic and social program of the Democratic candidate for the White House. Following the interest rate cut announced...

Markets are highly confident that the Federal Reserve will announce another cut in interest rates at the next policy meeting on Nov. 7, two days after the election. The uncertainty is whether the cut...

The odds continue to look favorable that the US will dodge an NBER-defined recession through the end of the third quarter. Q4 still looks more challenging, but that’s guesswork at this point. By...

In our recent two-part series on the yield curve (Part One  Part Two) we discussed the four predominant yield curve shifts and what they imply about economic activity and monetary...

I reviewed the spread on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) yesterday. The white bars represent yesterday’s data, and the comparison is against the 180-day historical average. The spreads are...

Last week, the Federal Reserve made a significant move by cutting its overnight lending rate by 50 basis points. This marks the first rate cut since 2020, signaling the Fed is aggressively supporting...

As the Fed pivot starts with a 50-basis-point slash, the bond market expects more to come, and gold should benefit. Meanwhile, the risk of a second inflationary wave isn’t dismissed, and the Nasdaq...

So far, September isn't living up to its bad reputation for the stock market now that the S&P 500 and the DJIA are at record highs. At the start of the month, on September 2, we asked, "What...