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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks edge higher on Brexit hopes, trade optimism fades

Published 10/15/2019, 05:36 PM
Updated 10/15/2019, 05:40 PM
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks edge higher on Brexit hopes, trade optimism fades
UK100
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FCHI
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DE40
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JP225
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ESM24
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CL
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DE10YT=RR
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STOXX
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MIWD00000PUS
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* World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
* Data shows China factory gate prices decline accelerate
Sentiment still fragile due to U.S.-China trade war
* Policymakers struggle to reduce risks to global economy

By Karin Strohecker
LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) - Global stocks edged higher on
Tuesday yet safe havens were still in play as markets tried to
balance fading optimism over the latest China-U.S. trade truce
with the likelihood of a Brexit deal by Thursday's European
Union summit.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS
gained 0.2% with European stocks climbing briefly to a two-week
high after comments from the European Union's chief Brexit
negotiator that a deal with Britain over the terms of their
divorce was still possible this week.
The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX added 0.2% with France's
CAC .FCHI and Germany's export-oriented DAX .GDAXI both
rising while Britain's FTSE .FTSE was a touch lower as
sterling rose against the dollar and the euro, reflecting the
cautious optimism about talks between Britain and the EU.
Yet capping broader gains in equities was a perceived lack
of progress coming out of U.S.-China trade negotiations.
Reports of a "Phase 1" trade deal between the United States
and China last week had earlier cheered markets but the dearth
of details around the agreement has since curbed this enthusiasm
with oil prices extending declines, Chinese stocks weaker and
the safe-haven yen holding gains versus dollar.
"Not enough was achieved to alter meaningfully the
fundamental global economic outlook," said Mark Haefele, chief
investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
"Global growth is still slowing and is below trend ... There
is still scope for earnings disappointment and the remaining
uncertainty from trade tensions means business investment is
unlikely to improve markedly."
Asian shares had nudged slightly higher while Japan's Nikkei
stock index .N225 was up 1.9%. U.S. stock futures ESc1 rose
0.5% after the S&P 500 ended 0.14% lower on Monday.
The focus is now firmly on Europe where officials from
Britain and the EU will meet at a make-or-break summit on
Thursday and Friday that will determine whether Britain is
headed for a deal to leave the bloc on Oct. 31, a disorderly
no-deal exit or a delay. The main sticking point remains the border between EU member
Ireland and Northern Ireland, which belongs to Britain. Some EU
politicians have expressed guarded optimism that a deal can be
reached. However, diplomats from the EU have indicated they are
pessimistic about British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's
proposed solution for the border and want more concessions.
Yet those concerns did little to quash market optimism for
now, with Britain expected to make new proposals on Tuesday.
Euro zone bond yields inched up with Germany's benchmark
10-year bond yield was 0.5 basis points higher on the day at
-0.45% DE10YT=RR , flirting with a two-and-a-half month highs
reached at the end of last week.

BREXIT HOPES LIFT STERLING
In the currency markets, optimism over a possible Brexit
deal lifted sterling GBP=D3 by as much as 0.7% to the dollar
and approaching a three-month high of $1.2708 and climbing to a
five-month high against the euro. EURGBP=D3 GBP/
The yen JPY=EBS , often considered a safe haven in times of
economic uncertainty, held steady at 108.33 versus the dollar.


Markets were still considering the perceived lack of
progress in resolving a prolonged trade row between the United
States and China.
The United States agreed to delay an Oct. 15 increase in
tariffs on Chinese goods while Beijing said it would buy as much
as $50 billion of U.S. agricultural products after tense
negotiations last week.
However, Washington has left in place tariffs on hundreds of
billions of dollars of Chinese goods.
Trade experts and China market analysts say the chances are
high that Washington and Beijing will fail to agree on any
specifics - as happened in May - in time for a mid-November
meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese
President Xi Jinping.
Chinese data also added to the woes. The latest numbers
showed that China factory gate prices declined at the fastest
pace in more than three years in September. That followed
customs data on Monday that showed Chinese imports had
contracted for a fifth straight month. Concerns over the health of the global economy weighed
heavily on oil prices, with U.S. crude CLc1 and Brent crude
both falling around 1.5% to $52.75 and 58.48 per barrel
respectively. O/R
By early last week, hedge funds had become the most bearish
towards petroleum prices since the start of the year, according
to an analysis of position records published by the U.S.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission and ICE Futures Europe.
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China's trade-war scorecard https://tmsnrt.rs/2VyzGPK
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