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GLOBAL MARKETS-Thumping data drives stocks and oil higher

Published 06/23/2020, 05:00 PM
Updated 06/23/2020, 05:10 PM
© Reuters.
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* European PMI data romps expectations
* White House assures U.S.-China trade deal still intact
* Investors buoyed by China deal remaining live
* Stocks rise, oil climbs, gold steady
* World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Marc Jones
LONDON, June 23 (Reuters) - World stocks and risk currencies
rallied on Tuesday on encouraging global economic data and
assurances from U.S. President Donald Trump that the U.S.-China
trade deal remained "fully intact" after confusion over its fate
had emerged.
Jitters had struck Asian markets after White House adviser
Peter Navarro said the trade deal with China was "over", linking
the breakdown in part to anger over Beijing not sounding the
alarm earlier about the coronavirus outbreak. The headlines prompted a brisk selloff but sentiment quickly
recovered when Navarro, an outspoken critic of China, said his
remarks had been taken out of context, and Trump later confirmed
in a tweet the deal was fully in place.
Europe's equity markets then extended the bounce, climbing
between 1-2% as Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs), seen as a
good gauge of economic health, thumped expectations to bolster
V-shaped recovery hopes. Euro zone PMIs recovered to 47.5 from May's 31.9 and April's
record low of 13.6. The future output index, which had been
below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction for
three months, recovered to 55.7 from 46.8 too.
Banks .SX7P , carmakers .SXAP and technology shares
.SX8P led the share market gains, while the euro almost got
above $1.13 EUR= and Italian and Spanish government debt
benefitted in the bond markets. /FRX GVD/EUR
"PMIs are coming in much better than expected and are
another bullish arrow pushing markets back to the highs of May,"
said CMC Markets senior analyst Michael Hewson.
"The bar for second lockdowns is going to be a lot higher as
well, so a second wave (of COVID-19 infections) is not going to
be nearly as damaging economically as the first wave."

OIL ON THE BOIL
In Asia overnight, Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI ended up
about 1.6% after the early trade deal wobbles, South Korea's
KOSPI index .KS11 added 0.2% and Japan's Nikkei .N225
climbed 0.5%.
World stocks have rallied since hitting a low in March amid
worries about the jolt to the global economy from the
coronavirus-driven shutdown.
Ord Minnett investment advisor John Milroy said equity
market sentiment was positive despite ongoing bursts of
volatility across regional markets.
"It's worth noting our clients here have been net buyers
since the depths of market despair," Milroy told Reuters from
Sydney.
"I should think any pullback would be a catalyst for that
pattern to resume, the conversations that I am having with
clients is all about what to buy not what to sell."
Safe-haven gold, which initially rose on Navarro's remarks,
sold off on the clarification, while risk-sensitive currencies
staged a recovery aided by a softer dollar.
"The saving grace for markets is liquidity, which is in
abundance and will offer a backstop as the bulls and bears stage
a tussle and cause market volatility," said Vasu Menon,
Singapore-based senior investment strategist at OCBC Bank Wealth
Management.
Despite Trump's assurances on Tuesday, Menon expects
U.S.-China tensions to escalate in the run-up to the U.S.
elections.
"So expect markets to be very bumpy in second half of this
year because of the double whammy from COVID-19 and U.S.-China
tensions."
China on Tuesday reported 22 new coronavirus cases, of which
13 were located in Beijing, and the city's government has
started to restrict people from moving to help contain the
outbreak.
New infections have spiked in Latin America, Brazil in
particular, while New York City, the epicentre of the U.S.
outbreak, eased restrictions after 100 days of lockdown.
In commodities, oil continued its recovery. Brent LCOc1
was up 30 cents at a more than three-month high of $43.33, while
U.S. crude CLc1 was up above $41 a barrel. O/R

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Global assets http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl
Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Emerging markets http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV
MSCI All Country Wolrd Index Market Cap http://tmsnrt.rs/2EmTD6j
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