* Oil falls more than 30% as Saudi Arabia cuts prices
* Energy firms suffer double-digit drops
* Pan-Europe stocks enter bear market
* U.S. futures point to drop at open
* Fed funds fully price for 75 bps cut in March
* 30-year Treasury yields drop below 1%, drag dollar down
* U.S. crude vs energy sector ETFs: https://tmsnrt.rs/2TPLlcD
By Karin Strohecker
LONDON, March 9 (Reuters) - Global stocks plunged on Monday
and prices for crude oil tumbled as much as 33% after Saudi
Arabia launched a price war with Russia, sending investors
already worried by the coronavirus fleeing for the safety of
bonds and the yen.
Saudi Arabia had stunned markets with plans to raise its
production significantly after the collapse of OPEC's supply cut
agreement with Russia - a grab for market share reminiscent of a
drive in 2014 that sent prices down by about two-thirds. O/R
Brent crude LCOc1 and U.S. crude CLc1 futures slid as
much as $14 to trade at $31.02 and $27.34 a barrel in chaotic
trade before recovering some of their losses. O/R
European equity markets suffered hefty losses with London
.FTSE , Frankfurt .GDAXI and Paris .FCHI tumbling between
6-7%. Italy's main index .FTMIB slumped 10% after the
government ordered a lockdown of large parts of the north of the
country, including the financial capital Milan.
The pan-regional STOXX 600 .STOXX fell into bear market
territory -- a drop of more than 20% from its February peak. Oil
stocks sank, with Premier Oil PMO.L down 54% and energy giant
BP BP.L trading nearly 20% lower. Heavy selling was set to continue on Wall Street with U.S.
futures EScv1 hitting their down limit.
"We are seeing this week, finally, a full-scale liquidation
and signs of capitulation, full-scale panic - we see this in
every asset," said Paul O'Connor, head of multi-asset at Janus
Henderson.
"The oil price plunge adds a huge disruptive dynamic to
markets that are already very fragile - investors are looking
for losers in this move."
The losses in Europe followed sharp declines in Asia. MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares ex-Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS
lost 4.4% in its worst day since August 2015 and Japan's Nikkei
.N225 dropped 5.1%. Australia's commodity-heavy market .AXJO
closed down 7.3%, its biggest daily fall since the 2008 global
financial crisis.
Investors piled into safe-haven bonds, driving the 30-year
U.S. bond yields US30YT=RR beneath 1% on bets that the Federal
Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates by at least 75
basis points at its March 18 meeting, after having already
delivered an emergency easing last week.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell to as low as 0.318%
US10YT=RR in its biggest daily fall since 2011 - during a
sovereign debt crisis across the euro zone. US/
The number of people infected with the coronavirus rose
above 110,000, and 3,800 have died from the virus.
There were mounting worries that U.S. oil producers that had
issued a lot of debt would be made uneconomic by the price drop.
The mood was also hit by North Korea firing three
projectiles off its eastern coast. Noting that many central banks had little scope to ease
further, Martin Whetton, head of bond & rates strategy at CBA,
said "let's hope we start to see some more clarity on the
reaction."
BOND BONANZA
Markets 0#FF: fully priced in an easing of 75 basis points
from the Fed on March 18, while a cut to near zero was now seen
as likely by April.
The European Central Bank meets on Thursday and will be
under intense pressure to act, but rates are already deeply
negative. "This week's ECB meeting will be the first test case for ECB
President Christine Lagarde," ING's eurozone chief economist
Carsten Brzeski wrote in a note. "With hardly any ammunition
left and confronted with an external shock which cannot be tamed
by economic policies, the ECB will have to balance carefully
between words and deeds."
The 10-year Bund yield DE10YT=RR - the euro zone's leading
safe asset - fell to a new record low of -0.863% while inflation
expectations for the euro zone sank below 1% for the first time.
Data suggested the global economy toppled into recession
this quarter. Figures out from China over the weekend showed
exports fell 17.2% in January-February from a year earlier.
The fall in U.S. yields and Fed rate expectations pushed
the dollar to its largest weekly loss in four years before it
recovered some ground. =USD . USD/
The dollar extended its slide to 101.58 yen JPY= , depths
not seen since late 2016. It was last down nearly 3% at 102.42.
The euro shot to the highest in over 13 months at $1.1492
EUR= , to be last at $1.1410.
Gold initially cleared $1,700 per ounce XAU= to a fresh
seven-year peak, only to fall back to $1,677.4 amid talk some
investors were having to sell to raise cash to cover margin
calls in stocks. GOL/
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Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
US crude price vs energy sector ETF https://tmsnrt.rs/2TPLlcD
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