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EMERGING MARKETS-Indonesia's rupiah firms as c.bank seen holding rates steady

Published 04/20/2021, 01:15 PM
Updated 04/20/2021, 01:20 PM
© Reuters.
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US10YT=X
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* Investors eye c.bank meeting in Indonesia later today
* Taiwan dollar at a nearly 1-1/2 months high
* Emerging Asian currencies strengthen on weaker dollar

By Harish Sridharan
April 20 (Reuters) - The Indonesian rupiah gained on Tuesday
ahead of a Bank Indonesia (BI) policy meeting where the central
bank is widely expected to stand pat on interest rates,
resisting any further easing to foster currency stability.
Other emerging Asian currencies rose across the board,
reflecting a broadly weaker U.S dollar. South Korea's won
KRW=KFTC and the Singapore dollar SGD= added 0.5% and 0.3%,
respectively.
The rupiah IDR= , which is among the worst performing
currencies in the region so far this year, advanced 0.3%. Stocks
in Jakarta were down 0.8%.
The currency has already depreciated more than 3% against
the dollar this year, leaving policymakers wary about delivering
further rates cuts lest it creates rupiah instability and forces
out foreign funds. The expected hold on rates "is not a comfortable extension
of policy pause to assess the recovery... Instead, this is a an
uncomfortable compromise at the current constrained status quo,"
analysts at Mizuho said in a note.
"Risks to rupiah stability necessitate an inconvenient
restraint, especially as signs of stress on the rupiah in recent
weeks raise the stakes of putting through more easing at this
juncture."
Mizuho analysts said reports that President Joko Widodo is
backing a bill to expand BI's mandate is seen by many as
diluting the central bank's independence, which in turn is
denting confidence in rupiah-denominated assets.
Last year, Widodo's administration and some lawmakers
drafted a bill to expand BI's mandate, raising concerns among
foreign investors - who hold a major chunk of the country's debt
- over greater government oversight of the central bank.
More broadly, the U.S. dollar eased partly as the euro
EUR= strengthened overnight as the vaccination programme in
Europe continues briskly, while U.S Treasury yields US10YT=RR
are off their highs reached recently.
"Bond yields have stalled. There is a optimism here that we
could see a stronger European growth rebound coming and that is
the backdrop that argues for stronger Asian currencies," said
Sim Moh Siong, FX strategist at Bank of Singapore.
The Taiwan dollar TWD=TP strengthened 0.5% and hit a 1-1/2
month high ahead of export data for March which analysts expect
will rise for a 13th consecutive month.
** Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields were down 0.7 basis
points at 6.468%
** Bank Maspion BMAS.JK down 6.9% and among top losers on
the Jakarta stock index .JKSE
** In the Philippines, top index gainer was Puregold Price
Club Inc PGOLD.PS , up 3.31%

Asia stock indexes and currencies
at 0422 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX YTD INDEX STOCKS STOCK
DAILY % DAILY S YTD
% % %
Japan JPY= +0.04 -4.50 .N225 -1.92 6.06
China CNY=CFXS +0.24 +0.51 .SSEC 0.29 0.42
India INR=IN +0.00 -2.42 .NSEI 0.85 3.57
Indonesi IDR= +0.34 -3.14 .JKSE -0.78 0.44
a
Malaysia MYR= +0.17 -2.31 .KLSE 0.26 -1.40
Philippi PHP= +0.16 -0.57 .PSI 0.39 -9.17
nes
S.Korea KRW=KFTC +0.51 -2.28 .KS11 0.49 11.87
Singapor SGD= +0.32 -0.43 .STI -0.05 12.81
e
Taiwan TWD=TP +0.45 +1.44 .TWII 0.09 17.29
Thailand THB=TH -0.03 -3.97 .SETI 0.03 8.69




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