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In February 2023, we wrote this article. The article walks through Michael Kantrowitz’s HOPE model. HOPE, or Housing, New Orders (ISM), Corporate Profits, and Employment, provides a handy...
Stocks rallied following the CPI report, as falling energy prices offset the rise in the net benefit of health insurance and other medical impacts. Energy and gasoline prices fell sharply, and so did...
Focus shifts to the key inflation data due today This data will play a pivotal role in deciding the year-end rally's fate Decline in shelter inflation has continued, increasing odds of a...
Stocks finished yesterday's session lower ahead of CPI report. Expectations are for headline CPI to increase by 0.1% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, down from September’s increase of 0.4%...
Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, these 5 tips to improve your day trading will enhance your approach, helping you to make better decisions and win.
Investor sentiment has surpassed its historical average of 37.5% as the stock market bounced back from the treasury crisis Investors now wonder whether the rally will sustain into yearend With that in...
Stocks had a big rally day on Friday, but most of the week was a real struggle. The rally on Friday didn’t help the equal-weight S&P 500 or Russell 2000 finish positive for the week, despite...
Learn how to search for undervalued stocks with a simple-to-replicate strategy suitable for novice investors. Discover the power of two combined metrics (Fair Value Growth and Global Score) to search...
Investors should brace for more volatility next week amid growing uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. U.S. CPI inflation, the latest retail sales figures, and a read on...
The Marshmallow Test was designed to assess children's self-control and ability to delay gratification But that is a test today's investors have failed miserably, with short-term returns favored over...
Stocks had a boring day; I think the last three days add to the idea that last week’s rally was driven by options market positioning, and the declining market breadth supports that idea even...
It’s important, I think, that I occasionally remind readers of a fact that is supported by overwhelming quantitative evidence, and yet virtually ignored by a wide majority of economists (and...
The red-hot economic growth in the third quarter remains on track to decelerate sharply in the final three months of the year, based on the median nowcast via a set of estimates compiled by...
The following headline from a July 2020 CNBC article is stunning: "Here’s why economists don’t expect trillions of dollars in economic stimulus to create inflation." In hindsight, so many...
A historical pattern suggests that years following negative performances in August, September, and October often see strong November and December gains in the stock market. But, Geopolitical turmoil...