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The Bureau of Economic Analysis appears set to report tomorrow (Jan. 25) that US output slowed sharply in the fourth quarter after Q3’s unusually strong gain.But Thursday’s GDP report is...
Investing.com recently hosted an educational webinar introducing ProTips, a revolutionary tool designed to simplify the stock market. ProTips are the newest way to help you make smart and informed...
Part One of this series highlights how the government’s fixation with full employment and the Fed’s belief in the faulty Phillips Curve model from 1965 to 1982 fueled multiple bouts of...
One of the successes the Federal Reserve can tout from the last couple of years (and the list of them is pretty short, to be fair) is that after the unprecedented policy actions during COVID caused...
Just to remind you, a few weeks ago, I wrote an article which outlined the potential for a major bear market lasting between 13 and 21 years. In fact, this may even cause a long-term depression. And,...
In 60 seconds, I share the 3 things to watch this week.
The S&P 500 has hit a new record high after 512 trading days - one of the largest negative streaks in history Meanwhile, hedge funds hold the highest level of Nasdaq 100 purchases in almost seven...
Economic growth continues to defy expectations of a slowdown and recession due to continued increases in deficit spending.The U.S. Treasury recently reported the December budget deficit, which shows...
The stock market finished higher yesterday. It was an entertaining day, especially if you understood the background of the sudden and “unexpected” rally, especially heading into OPEX...
I am a risk manager, both literally and figuratively. Literally, since whether it is with our own funds and strategies or allocations for individual investor clients, or with my trading book back when...
The sharp drop in the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State business-conditions index in January triggered a wave of warnings.Soon after this monthly survey data was released yesterday (Jan....
Appreciating Apollo’s graph below, comparing recent inflation to multiple bouts of inflation of the late 1960s, 70s, and early 80s is of utmost importance for investors.Sustained levels of high...
Stocks finished the day lower, with the S&P 500 dropping by 40 bps, as the VIX surged, rates rose, and the dollar strengthened.A good portion of the move came today after Fed governor Chris Waller...
The January effect, named for the perceived market anomaly where stock returns in January are higher than in other months, has been a subject of interest since it was first written about in...
The Fed has been running QT for a while and yet there is still abundant liquidity in the financial system.Fed’s bond holdings are down $1.3 trillion from their peak (due to QT), yet only half of...