Market Overview

Strong job growth suggests the Fed may delay interest rate cuts. However, despite robust job numbers, a decrease in job openings could show lower inflation ahead. The bond market doesn't yet reflect...

More than a few individuals were active in the markets in 1999-2000, but many participants today were not. I remember looking at charts and writing about the craziness in markets as the fears of...

Stocks finished flat on an uneventful trading session. However, the market felt more risk-off with the 1-month implied correlation index and the VIX moving higher. Typically, when the VIX and the...

The news flow will be heavy again this week, with inflation reports, a Fed meeting, and Treasuries being auctioned off in the 1 PM ET time slot. Additionally, today, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) will start...

Recent economic estimates suggest US growth has slowed compared with previous estimates, but today’s revised GDP nowcast for the second quarter still points to a modest pickup in output over Q1. The...

It is always interesting when commodity prices rise. The market produces various narratives to suggest why prices will keep growing indefinitely. Such applies to all commodities, from oil to orange...

Stocks finished the day flat ahead of the job report, which seems to be coming ahead of a lot of back-and-forth as to whether the job market is crumbling or not. I have a feeling that is not going to...

Credit card and auto loans are increasing the risk on bank balance sheets. The largest holders of these loans include JP Morgan, Citibank, and Capital One. You have to engage in due diligence...

It is becoming increasingly clear that someone is offside; it’s just a matter of who. I know talking about credit spreads and implied correlations, and the Mexican peso is not en vogue or as hot as...

Sell in May and go away didn't work in 2024. Lets take a look at June seasonality and how it affects stocks, gold and the US Dollar

The performance outlook for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked higher again in May. For the fourth straight month, GMI’s long-term forecast edged up, rising to an annualized 7.1% pace, which is...

Did you know that every time you type a query into ChatGPT, it requires about 10 times as much electricity to process as a Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) search? That’s according to Goldman Sachs, which...

When markets are calm (read: boring), it’s easier to take a step back from the daily noise and ask ourselves the big picture questions like Yes, but what’s the Macro EndGame? It often feels like the...

US economic growth rose a modest 1.3% in the first quarter, a softer increase vs. the government’s initial 1.6% estimate. The revised data reflects a sluggish pace of growth and the second straight...