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EMERGING MARKETS-Indonesia's rupiah at near 5-month low on rising U.S. yields

Published 03/31/2021, 03:18 PM
Updated 03/31/2021, 03:20 PM
USD/JPY
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JP225
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DX
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NSEI
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US10YT=X
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JKSE
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KLSE
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KS11
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TWII
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SSEC
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TPGC
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HTHB
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SETI
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PSI
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STI
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* Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippine shares down over 1.5%
* U.S. dollar on track for best month since 2016
* China March PMI expands at the quickest pace in three
months
* Rupee declines further

By Nikhil Nainan
March 31 (Reuters) - Indonesia's rupiah tumbled to its
weakest level in nearly five months on Wednesday, as rising U.S.
bond yields sapped risk appetite for one of the highest-yielding
emerging market currencies and pounded the region.
Stocks in Jakarta .JKSE and Kuala Lumpur .KLSE and
Manila .PSI fell more than 1.5% and led declines across the
continent.
The 10-year yield US10YT=RR was at 1.7211%, ahead of U.S.
President Joe Biden's infrastructure spending announcement.
Later in the day, Biden is set to outline how he intends to
pay for a $3 trillion to $4 trillion infrastructure plan, which
could boost the U.S. recovery. "The additional spending boost could further support the
U.S. dollar," Mizuho said in a note.
The dollar =USD is on track for its best month since 2016,
as compared with monthly declines set for many Asian emerging
currencies, including the rupiah IDR= and ringgit MYR= .
The International Monetary Fund said strong U.S. growth
could help a global economic recovery, but may also cause
tighter financial conditions and trigger significant outflows
from emerging countries. Indonesia's central bank governor said the country has ample
foreign reserves to ensure the rupiah is stable and intends to
continue to keep policy loose to support the recovery.
"We see risks that the rupiah could soften further for a
period of time," said Wei Liang Chang, an FX strategist at DBS.
"Bank Indonesia may manage rupiah depreciation to limit
volatility, but absent a rebound in inflation, policy is likely
to remain unchanged."
Jakarta's stock market was also set for its worst month
since September after a strong February. That drop is weighing
on the first quarter in which it is set for a small decline
compared with its best showing since 2009 in the December-ended
quarter.
In Malaysia, stocks suffered their sharpest fall in nearly
three months, falling as much as 1.8%. They were set to end
three straight quarters of gains.
The central bank expects Malaysia's economy to rebound in
2021, compared with a 5.6% contraction - its worst since the
Asian Financial Crisis in 1998 - in 2020.
Data showing China's manufacturing activity expanding at its
quickest pace in three months in March did little to support the
region. Shanghai stocks .SSEC fell 0.8%, while the yuan
CNY=CFXS gained 0.2%.
In India, where COVID-19 cases are surging, stocks .NSEI
fell nearly 1%. The rupee INR=IN weakened 0.5% to its lowest
in about a month, following a sharp drop on Tuesday.
.BO

HIGHLIGHTS:
** Glove makers Top Glove Corp Bhd TPGC.KL and Hartalega
Holdings Bhd HTHB.KL led declines in Malaysia
** Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields rise 2 basis points
to 6.814%
** Asian countries scramble for vaccine supplies after India
export curbs stock indexes and currencies at 0630 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX INDEX STOCKS STOCKS
DAILY % YTD % DAILY % YTD %
Japan JPY= -0.33 -6.75 .N225 -0.86 6.32
China CNY=CFXS +0.16 -0.51 .SSEC -0.61 -1.08
India INR=IN -0.16 -0.59 .NSEI -0.73 5.40
Indonesia IDR= -0.48 -3.44 .JKSE -1.81 -0.29
Malaysia MYR= -0.07 -3.18 .KLSE -1.73 -2.81
Philippines PHP= -0.04 -1.17 .PSI -1.57 -9.76
S.Korea KRW=KFTC +0.16 -4.03 .KS11 -0.28 6.54
Singapore SGD= +0.08 -1.92 .STI -0.32 11.85
Taiwan TWD=TP -0.04 -0.16 .TWII -0.75 11.53
Thailand THB=TH -0.35 -4.43 .SETI 0.16 9.85



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