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EMERGING MARKETS-Asia FX gains as U.S. yields dip; India's rupee hits over 4-month low

Published 04/07/2021, 03:26 PM
Updated 04/07/2021, 03:30 PM
© Reuters.
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US10YT=X
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IN10YT=RR
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* RBI leaves rates unchanged as expected, announces bond
buying
programme
* Rupee down as far as 1%
* S.Korea's won at strongest level since Feb-end

By Nikhil Nainan
BENGALURU, April 7 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee plunged to
its lowest level in more than four months on Wednesday after the
central bank held rates, while Asia's other emerging currencies
gained as U.S. bond yields continued to retreat and eased
pressure on the region's assets.
Stock markets throughout most of Asia gained with India
.NSEI leading the way, rising around 1%. .BO
South Korea's won KRW=KFTC advanced 0.3% to its strongest
level since late February as 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR
extended their declines and put the dollar on the backfoot. US/
The International Monetary Fund also raised its global
growth outlook to 6% this year, from 5.5% less than three months
ago, pointing largely to the U.S. recovery and unprecedented
public spending. Those reflation hopes provided an extra lift to the region,
though only just, ahead of minutes from the Federal Reserve's
March meeting, due later on Wednesday.
"We expect the broader thematic play of reflation, higher
commodity prices, vaccine trade and sharper global economic
rebound to play up again," Maybank analysts said.
Cautioning that they still do not expect the dollar to be in
free fall as U.S. yields remain elevated, "Fed officials need to
show some signs of anxiety before UST yield and dollar can ease
more meaningfully."
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) left rates unchanged, as
widely expected, at a time where daily COVID-19 cases are
surging and states reimpose restrictions. While the rupee INR=IN fell nearly 1%, yields on the
benchmark 10-year bonds IN10YT=RR rose as far as 6.191% before
falling to 6.087% after the RBI announced a secondary market
government securities acquisition programme, where it would buy
1 trillion rupees worth of bonds from the market in the
April-June quarter.
Siddhartha Sanyal, the chief economist at Bandhan Bank said
a key challenge for the RBI is to "maintain orderly conditions
in financial markets", noting large government borrowing and the
fresh surge in COVID-19 infections. More broadly, investors have also been recalculating their
expectations for when the Fed will tighten policy, a shift from
a month and half of rising U.S. bond yields and a surging dollar
spurred by financial markets thinking that the central bank will
have to abandon its pledge due to a fast-recovering economy.
The Fed has pledged not to raise interest rates until 2024,
while any indications of change could sap appetite for Asia's
higher-yielding currency and bond markets.
South Korea, seen as a beneficiary from a global recovery
given its reliance on trade, reported its highest number of new
COVID-19 cases in three months, keeping a check on stock market
.KS11 gains.
** Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields fell 13.3 basis
points to 6.536%
** Spike in long-term Thai govt bonds had limited impact on
economy -c.bank minutes
Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0641 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX INDEX STOCKS STOCKS
DAILY % YTD % DAILY % YTD %
Japan JPY= -0.02 -5.94 .N225 0.12 8.33
China CNY=CFXS -0.01 -0.20 .SSEC -0.31 -0.03
India INR=IN -0.82 -1.32 .NSEI 0.98 6.05
Indonesia IDR= +0.00 -3.17 .JKSE 0.08 0.48
Malaysia MYR= +0.10 -2.57 .KLSE 0.18 -2.79
Philippines PHP= -0.05 -1.20 .PSI 0.93 -6.84
S.Korea KRW=KFTC +0.30 -2.70 .KS11 0.33 9.19
Singapore SGD= +0.02 -1.31 .STI -0.34 12.41
Taiwan TWD=TP +0.26 +0.25 .TWII 0.45 14.14
Thailand THB=TH +0.26 -4.31 .SETI -0.92 7.99

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