Market Overview

The year 2023 was a bullish one for stock markets around the world. At the same time, some asset classes had a year to forget. In this piece, I will share my 4 predictions for the financial markets...

Let me get straight to the point: our models show inflation is on its way to undershoot (!) Central Banks targets in 2024. Inflation is often a monetary phenomenon: print real-economy money too...

The first week of 2024 will be a big one, with a lot of data that will either justify the market rally and expectations for rate cuts or not.Data that comes in too hot will kill the idea of rate cuts...

In fact, with patience it could turn out to be like shooting contrary fish in a barrel. The stock market rally – which NFTRH had anticipated a year ago on a larger basis and since October of...

"You can't fight the Fed" is a famous refrain repeated by most market participants throughout the years. Unfortunately, it is just not true. The truer statement is that "you can't fight the market."...

The outlook for the US economy is on track to close 2023 with a relatively upbeat outlook for the fourth quarter, based on a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.The official Q4 GDP...

Inflation in the UK fell abruptly to 3.9% in November, the lowest since September 2021. Inflation in the UK surprisingly fell more than anticipated to 3.9% in November, marking the lowest reading for...

Markets are becoming increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in 2024. The first cut is expected at the March 20 monetary policy meeting.Fed funds futures are...

Stocks rallied again, achieving even more extended levels, with the S&P 500 RSI rising to just shy of 82 while remaining above the oper Bollinger band.Again, this is reaching extreme overbought...

The Bank of Japan kept its major policy settings unchanged and made no changes to its forward guidance, pushing the yen down against the dollar. But we think the shift in tone is clear and major...

In this video, I discuss 3 different price action trading strategies that can be used for forex, gold, and stocks. Discover how you can use price to identify entries and exits, key chart patterns and...

Months ago, most economists dismissed claims that Jerome Powell and his team of policymakers at the Federal Reserve would pull off the so-called “soft landing.” But after recent events and...

US economic activity is still on track to slow after strong growth in the third quarter, but recession risk remains low, based on a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.Next month’s...

What is the “wealth effect,” and why is it important? It is a great question and reminded me of “A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Colosseum.“ The hysterical play by...