Currency Forecast

In what we thought was going to be a quiet week for FX, the dollar has extended its recent losses. Driving those losses have been Fed speeches welcoming signs of slowing economic momentum and lower...

EUR/USD is eyeing the key 1.10 level, but we suspect that any breaks above that level will prove unsustainable as the rates picture remains broadly supportive for the dollar until the US growth...

At the start of a quiet week for data, the dollar is hovering near recent lows. However, we do not think this is yet the start of the big, cyclical turn lower in the dollar we expect for next year....

PMIs came in stronger than expected in the eurozone and the UK yesterday and will be released in the US today. Despite the notion that eurozone growth pessimism may have peaked, rate differentials...

The GBP/USD managed to make back its losses from the day before and some. It was boosted by stronger-than-expected PMI data, which helped to push rates well north of the 1.25 handle to reach its...

How to Use CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report to Trade FOREX

A softer dollar environment has seen Chinese authorities turn the screws on those with short renminbi positions. Look for further dollar weakness today given the risk of the lowest US existing home...

EUR/USD outlook positive as dollar and yields fall FOMC minutes and global Flash PMIs among key macro highlights EUR/USD technical analysis: Bullish momentum could lift the pair towards 1.10 The...

The dollar has entered a consolidative phase, but yesterday’s price action gave us a glimpse of what could be more regular price action next year. EUR/USD got a brief lift yesterday from the...

The dollar continues to claw back some of Tuesday's losses after US October retail sales suggested that the consumer is still spending. Also helping has been the Senate's support of a stop-gap funding...

A couple of weeks ago, we highlighted the US Dollar as an asset ready for a big move.King Dollar was trading sideways and at important price resistance, so something had to give. Today, we...

The dollar plummeted yesterday after a softer-than-expected US CPI reading. But we still think a turn in activity data - more than the disinflation story - is needed to take the dollar sustainably...

The dollar risks another correction event today as inflation may slow a bit more than expected, even though core stickiness should prevent a major repricing of rate expectations. EUR/USD might also...

US dollar stalls at the 106 resistance as investors turn focus to key inflation data EUR/USD pulls back from $1.073, eyeing support at $1.067 Meanwhile, Moody's downgrades the US credit rating...