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REFILE-GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade war caution takes edge off stellar rally in world stocks

Published 11/08/2019, 08:17 PM
REFILE-GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade war caution takes edge off stellar rally in world stocks
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(Fixes typo in headline)
* Sources say trade truce plan meets opposition
* World stock markets retreat from highs
* Wall Street futures flat
* Oil, metals ease on trade row report

By Julien Ponthus and Dhara Ranasinghe
LONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Uncertainty about the fate of
U.S./China trade talks nudged world stock markets off 21-month
highs on Friday after what has proved to be stellar week for
risk assets.
An agreement between the United States and China to roll
back existing tariffs as part of a 'phase one' trade deal faces
fierce internal opposition at the White House, sources familiar
with the talks told Reuters. After the blue-chip Dow and broader S&P 500 reached record
closing highs on Thursday amid hopes of a trade war truce, U.S.
stock futures pointed to a flat to slightly softer start for
Wall Street shares ESc1 NQc1 . Caution appeared to be the order of the day across world
markets.
The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX dipped 0.2%, nudging off
more than four-year highs hit on Thursday. Asian shares
retreated from six-month highs .MIAPJ0000PUS and MSCI's world
stock index .MIWD00000PUS edged off 21-month peaks.
"The trade deal is the predominant driver", for markets at
the moment said Lars Kreckel, global equity strategist at Legal
& General Investment Management, noting that a dip in stock
markets was a just knee-jerk reaction to the latest news on the
U.S.-China front.
The mood contrasts with Thursday's surge of optimism in
global markets on news Beijing and Washington had agreed to roll
back tariffs as part of a first phase of a trade deal.
Worries the pact could fall apart are now prompting some
investors to sell heading into the weekend.
"Perhaps we do get the phase one deal and a detente, but
when we get into next year there will be big issues that both
the U.S. and China have big disagreements on," said James
Rossiter, head of global macro strategy at TD Securities.
"If anything, markets realise that it will take more of a
formal process to get things going and make progress."
Germany's DAX .GDAXI , a gauge of investors' sentiment on
trade, was also a touch lower on the day.
German exports posted their biggest rise in almost two years
in September, data showed on Friday, providing some relief amid
widespread concern that Europe's largest economy will dip into
recession in the third quarter. "Market participants are getting increasingly 'long' on
good news", said Stephen Gallo, European head of FX strategy at
Canadian bank BMO.
"The 'payback' in risk assets for a very downbeat picture
earlier in the year looks unstoppable at the moment", he added.

BOND BEATING
Sovereign bond markets steadied after taking a beating this
week from U.S./China trade talk optimism.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield stood at 1.92% US10YT=RR ,
down from three-month highs hit on Thursday. Still, it is up 19
basis points this week and set for its biggest weekly rise in a
month.
Safe-haven German Bund yields were also set for their
biggest weekly rise in a month DE10YT=RR .
Crude oil futures meanwhile fell amid lingering uncertainty
over the long-awaited trade deal and rising crude inventories in
the United States.
At 1150 GMT, Brent crude LCOc1 was down 1.7% at $61.21 a
barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 also
tumbled 1.7%, to $56.19.
In currency markets, the dollar edged up against other major
currencies.
The greenback was a touch firmer at 109.40 yen JPY= ,
nearing a five-month high of 109.49 set the previous day.
The euro was 0.2% weaker at $1.10285 EUR=EBS , while the
dollar index .DXY hovered at three-week highs.
A Reuters poll found that the dollar's persistent strength
would continue well into next year. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
EXCLUSIVE-Rollback of China tariffs faces fierce opposition in
White House-sources ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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