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GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade fears, growth woes haunt global stocks as bond yields slide

Published 10/03/2019, 05:31 PM
Updated 10/03/2019, 05:40 PM
GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade fears, growth woes haunt global stocks as bond yields slide
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* U.S. tariffs on EU goods hit already weak sentiment
* U.S.-EU trade https://tmsnrt.rs/2pnDS9d
* Yields in U.S. Treasuries, German bunds slip
* Oil struggles amid worries on oversupply

By Karin Strohecker
LONDON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - World stocks hovered near
four-week lows on Thursday and yields on major benchmark bonds
slipped after Washington moved to impose new tariffs on European
goods, fuelling fears about global growth and dousing risk
appetite.
MSCI's index of world stocks .MIWD00000PUS slipped 0.1%,
with Asian shares plunging. Japan's Nikkei stock index .N225
closing down 2%, its biggest one-day decline since Aug. 26.
However, European stocks eked out small gains after
suffering their worst day since last December on Wednesday, when
the U.S. got the go-ahead to impose tariffs on $7.5 billion of
European goods.
Washington will enact 10% tariffs on Airbus AIR.PA planes
and 25% duties on French wine, Scotch and Irish whiskies and
cheese from across the continent as punishment for illegal EU
subsidies to Airbus.
But a reduction in the initial list propped up some sectors
with the pan-regional STOXX 600 index .STOXX up 0.2%, torn
between falls in financials and gains in luxury goods stocks.
France's CAC index .FCHI rose 0.7% while Britain's FTSE 100
.FTSE fell 0.5%. German bourses - a weather vane for exports -
were closed for a national holiday.
The latest U.S.-European trade tensions added to fears over
the standoff between Washington and Beijing, which has cast a
shadow over global growth prospects. Earlier in the week,
disappointing data on U.S. manufacturing and the jobs market
suggested the trade war with China had damaged the world's
largest economy.
"The big question for a lot of folks is whether this is the
third slowdown since the financial crisis or are we now heading
for a global recession," said Anujeet Sareen, a fixed income
portfolio manager and global macro strategist for Brandywine
Global. "The wild card in the pack is always Donald Trump and
whatever he tweets next."
U.S. stock futures ESc1 NQc1 indicated 0.4% higher,
after shares fell the most in nearly six weeks on Wednesday. All
three major New York share indexes lost more than 1.5%.
"Risk aversion is broadly on the rise and that has been
triggered by the weakness in U.S. manufacturing ISM data earlier
this week," said Manuel Oliveri, an FX strategist at Credit
Agricole in London.
"The outperformance of the U.S. economy compared to other
major economies has held the dollar and other risky assets up
but that has changed this week."
The flight to safety saw yields on two-year U.S. Treasury
yields US2YT=RR slip to 1.4680%, nearing a two-year low of
1.4280%. Adding to pressure on yields was a weak U.S. jobs
report, boosting expectations the Federal Reserve will cut
interest rates this month.
Traders see a 72.8% chance the Fed will cut rates by 25
basis points to 1.75%-2.00% in October, up from 39.6% on Monday,
according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH
Bets on a rate cut could rise further if a U.S. non-farm
payrolls report on Friday shows weakness in the labour market.
Government bond yields in safe-haven Germany DE10YT=RR
fell for the first time in over a week. In currency markets, the dollar dipped to one-week lows
against the euro and yen. The greenback crossed 107 Japanese yen
JPY=EBS and touched a week low of 106.95 yen before recovering
some ground. It fell to $1.0973 per euro EUR= . The dollar
index .DXY slipped 0.1%.
Meanwhile, sterling GBP= was flat at $1.2306 as investors
waited for a European Union response to Britain's latest Brexit
offer, which Prime Minister Boris Johnson offered on Wednesday.
So far, the last-ditch Brexit proposal has received a cool
reception. One senior EU official said it "can't fly" because it
was an unworkable move backwards that left Britain and the EU
far apart. Brent crude LCOc1 was flat at $57.84 per barrel. Energy
traders are worried about a slowing global economy, an
over-supplied market and geopolitical friction in the Middle
East. O/R


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European vs US earnings https://tmsnrt.rs/2nwHxBa
Global oil demand 2019 vs. oil prices https://tmsnrt.rs/2orh33R
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