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EMERGING MARKETS-Indonesia's rupiah drops ahead of rate decision, Asia stocks fall

Published 11/19/2020, 12:46 PM
Updated 11/19/2020, 12:50 PM
© Reuters.
USD/JPY
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USD/SGD
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JP225
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USD/IDR
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USD/MYR
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USD/PHP
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NSEI
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JKSE
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KLSE
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ID10YT=RR
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KS11
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TWII
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SSEC
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PUBM
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HLBB
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SETI
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PSI
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STI
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MRNA
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* Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
* Indonesia, Philippine central bank expected to stay on
hold
* Some see room for 25 bps rate cut given recent rupiah
gains
* South Korea, Thai central bank intervene to stem currency
gains

Nov 19 (Reuters) - Indonesia's rupiah fell half a percent on
Thursday as markets toyed with the possibility of a surprise
rate cut given its recent strength, while Asian stock markets
faced downward pressure as COVID-19 cases and restrictions grow.
Malaysia .KLSE led declines in Asia's emerging equity
markets, falling 1%, while Singapore .STI and South Korea
.KS11 each fell 0.5%, tracking a late sell-off on Wall Street
as the United States struggles to keep a lid on infections. .N
Economists by and large expect Bank Indonesia to keep rates
unchanged at 4% later in the day. However, the rupiah IDR= has
gained over 3% this month alone and some see this as a potential
trigger for a interest rate cut. "Market expectations are mixed heading into today's Bank
Indonesia rate decision, divided between a pause and 25bp cut,"
DBS analysts wrote in a note.
The yield on Indonesia's 10-year bonds ID10YT=RR rose 1.6
basis points to 6.197% on Thursday, but has fallen sharply since
the U.S. election week. Yields rise as bond prices fall.
Indonesia's high-yielding bonds are a favourite of foreign
investors.
The Philippine central bank is also expected to keep rates
on hold at its meeting later, with the peso PHP= little
changed. Stocks in Manila .PSI fell 0.6%.
Broadly, currencies in the region were weaker, while South
Korea's won KRW=KFTC slid 1% against the dollar after the
government said it was taking action with stabilise the
currency.
Dealers told Reuters the central bank was suspected of
buying dollars on Thursday to stem gains for a currency that has
gained nearly 3% this month to Wednesday. Fresh from Wednesday's warning of the Thai baht's THB=T
strength and its impact on exports, the central bank said it had
intervened in the market. The currency dipped 0.1%. Recent vaccine news from Pfizer PFE.N and Moderna
MRNA.O , while triggering initial market boosts, have done
little to assuage investors' concerns that the new wave of
COVID-19 cases would dent any momentum for a global economic
recovery.
DBS analysts said emerging Asian currencies are unlikely to
be spared from traders looking to cover their shorts, as
"investors have found it increasingly difficult to extend the
euphoria from the US elections and vaccine hopes."

HIGHLIGHTS:
** Indonesian 3-year benchmark yields fell 1.7 basis points
to 4.908%
** Hong Leong Bank Bhd HLBB.KL and Public Bank Bhd
PUBM.KL led losses in Malaysian financials
** Resurgent IDR opens window for Bank Indonesia rate cut
Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0342 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX INDEX STOCKS STOCKS
DAILY % YTD % DAILY % YTD %
Japan JPY= +0.08 +4.68 .N225 -0.63 8.08
China CNY=CFXS -0.05 +6.11 .SSEC 0.06 9.81
India INR=IN +0.00 -3.79 .NSEI 0.00 6.33
Indonesia IDR= -0.50 -1.70 .JKSE 0.32 -11.50
Malaysia MYR= -0.22 -0.12 .KLSE -0.97 0.03
Philippines PHP= -0.05 +4.94 .PSI -0.59 -10.30
S.Korea KRW=KFTC -0.97 +3.75 .KS11 -0.54 15.20
Singapore SGD= -0.10 +0.08 .STI -0.46 -13.88
Taiwan TWD=TP +0.89 +5.62 .TWII -0.50 14.23
Thailand THB=TH -0.13 -1.42 .SETI 0.58 -13.12

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