Investing.com -- According to the latest survey by ABC News/Ipsos, Vice President Kamala Harris holds a slim lead over former President Donald Trump among likely voters.
Released on Sunday, the poll gives Harris a 4% edge nationally, reflecting the tight nature of the race as the election approaches its final stretch.
Meanwhile, a CBS News poll shows the candidates in a deadlock across critical battleground states, further highlighting the unpredictable nature of the contest.
Despite the polling figures, betting markets present a different picture. Trump continues to lead in several prominent offshore betting houses, including BetOnline, where he is currently listed at -200 compared to Harris’s +170 odds.
Other platforms, such as Bovada and Bet365, also show Trump as the favorite, though by varying margins.
A recent Wall Street Journal report showed that significant bets placed at the crypto-based platform Polymarket dramatically shifted Trump’s odds, underscoring the volatility of betting markets as indicators of election outcomes.
Historically, the betting favorite has won most presidential elections.
However, as the nonprofit news site The Conversation points out, the underdog has prevailed only twice since 1866—most notably in 2016 when Hillary Clinton, a heavy favorite with odds at -323, lost to Trump in a surprising upset.
With polls remaining close and both candidates vying for victory, the race for many remains too tight to call.