Vertex shares reaffirm Buy rating on Phase 2 trial data

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 12/19/2024, 09:32 PM
VRTX
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Thursday, Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating and a $602.00 price target for shares of Vertex Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:VRTX) Incorporated (NASDAQ: VRTX), following the release of Phase 2 trial results for suzetrigine, a non-opioid pain medication.

The biotech giant, currently valued at $115 billion, maintains a "GOOD" overall financial health score according to InvestingPro analysis, with particularly strong marks in profitability and price momentum metrics.

The trial, which focused on lumbosacral radiculopathy (LSR), also known as sciatica, showed that the suzetrigine treatment group experienced a significant reduction in leg pain intensity. Despite these results, the placebo group reported a similar reduction, leading to some concerns about the trial's outcome.

The suzetrigine arm, with 102 participants, saw a mean change in the Numeric Pain Rating Scale (NPRS) of -2.02, which is considered statistically significant and meets the success criteria set by key opinion leaders.

However, the placebo arm, consisting of 100 participants, also showed a comparable reduction, with a mean change of -1.98 in NPRS. This similarity in outcomes has contributed to underperformance in Vertex's share price, as the trial was not designed for direct comparison between the groups.

Vertex noted variability in the placebo response across different study sites. Approximately 40% of the sites reported lower placebo responses, where the suzetrigine group's reduction in pain was similar to the overall study and displayed greater separation from the placebo group. This suggests that trial design adjustments could more effectively control the placebo response and distinguish the treatment effect of suzetrigine from that of the placebo.

Following these findings, Vertex plans to move suzetrigine into pivotal development for LSR. The company will engage with regulators to discuss study design and the regulatory package required for advancing the medication. As a prominent player in the biotechnology industry, Vertex has demonstrated solid revenue growth with a 10% increase in the last twelve months.

InvestingPro subscribers can access 12 additional key insights about Vertex's market position and financial outlook. The analyst pointed out that Vertex's ability to manage clinical programs has been effective so far, and there is anticipation for a successful Phase 3 study to capitalize on the chronic pain treatment market.

The analyst's commentary acknowledges that the recent 52-week high for Vertex shares was approximately $520. The valuation of Vertex's stock and the $602 price target take into account the potential market for chronic pain treatments beyond diabetic peripheral neuropathy, which could be impacted by the development of suzetrigine for LSR.

With a current price of $447.50, Vertex trades at a high EBITDA multiple of 23.8x, and according to InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, the stock appears to be fairly valued. Investors can access comprehensive valuation metrics and a detailed Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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