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Tech Stocks at a Crossroads: Will They Break Out or Falter?

Published 08/04/2023, 03:19 PM
US500
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IXIC
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The main bank of stock market leadership has come from the technology sector.

SPX Monthly Chart

Let’s face it, tech stocks have been market leaders for years and a core driver of our economy.

But the post-COVID Nasdaq performance versus the S&P 500 has not been great.

The bright side of this? The Nasdaq is attempting to reassert its leadership in the marketplace. The downside? It could also turn back down again…

As you can see on today’s long-term “monthly” Nasdaq Composite vs. S&P 500 Index price-performance ratio, the technology index has outperformed for years until recently. The ratio is now testing its falling downtrend line and 50% Fibonacci level at (1).

I’m watching this level at (1) very closely, as it will either mean a continuation of near-term underperformance (bearish) or a breakout higher and a reassertion of market leadership (bullish).

Let’s just say that bulls do not want to see selling begin here.

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