Market Overview

Stocks had a boring day; I think the last three days add to the idea that last week’s rally was driven by options market positioning, and the declining market breadth supports that idea even...

It’s important, I think, that I occasionally remind readers of a fact that is supported by overwhelming quantitative evidence, and yet virtually ignored by a wide majority of economists (and...

The red-hot economic growth in the third quarter remains on track to decelerate sharply in the final three months of the year, based on the median nowcast via a set of estimates compiled by...

The following headline from a July 2020 CNBC article is stunning: "Here’s why economists don’t expect trillions of dollars in economic stimulus to create inflation." In hindsight, so many...

A historical pattern suggests that years following negative performances in August, September, and October often see strong November and December gains in the stock market. But, Geopolitical turmoil...

Find the most powerful stocks in the market with the InvestingPro filters explained in this article. Here's everything you need to know about stocks to help you get the most out of your...

How does a recession happen? “Slowly and then all at once.” Economists are increasingly confident the economy will avoid a recession. Such is due to strong job and retail sales data. Even...

Now that we have our first estimate of GDP for Q3, we also have our first estimate of M2 velocity for the third quarter. Because there is an amazing amount of uninformed hypothesis out there, I...

Morningstar estimates that as of 2022, there is nearly $3 trillion invested in target-date mutual funds. Per Morningstar: Target date strategies remain the investment vehicle of choice for retirement...

While often difficult, investing rules can help us maintain our focus and investment discipline in volatile or uncertain markets. This year, such has certainly been the case with surging interest...

If you are taking a vacation this week, you chose the wrong week. From Tuesday until Friday, there will be a massive data dump. Starting Tuesday, we get the Employment Cost Index and Home Prices.On...

Yesterday’s blowout rise for US economic growth in the third quarter delivered an upside surprise, especially for analysts who remain all in with forecasting recession. But perhaps the warnings...

Economists no longer expect a recession. Such was according to a recent WSJ survey of Wall Street economists. To wit: “In the latest quarterly survey by The Wall Street Journal, business and...

Stocks finished the day lower and were saved by a drop in rates following a solid 7-year auction. This pushed Treasury rates lower in the second half of the trading session.It allowed stocks to rally...