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It was another pretty slow day on Tuesday, with most of the action in the bond market, with the 2-year falling by 15 bps, resulting in the yield curve steepening with the 10-2 Year Treasury Yield...
The bungee jumper doesn’t just bounce once.Stated in a more high-falutin’ way, perturbed systems normally don’t converge straight back to equilibrium. Obviously, the 2020-2021...
The recession that was widely predicted when the year began has only been postponed, some forecasters warn. The US is likely to contract at some point in the new year, runs the updated outlook. Maybe,...
Yesterday was a fairly uneventful day, with the S&P 500 falling roughly 20 bps. Meanwhile, the 2-year auction at 11:30 AM was fairly ugly, with the new issue tailing one bps, while indirect...
The 2023 holiday season is officially upon us, and already, records are being shattered. Black Friday deal-hunters in the U.S. shelled out $9.8 billion online, a 7.5% over last year, according to...
Volatility, gauged by the Vix indicator, has seen a remarkable 41% decrease in the past four weeks, marking its ninth most significant drop within this historical timeframe. Meanwhile, managers are...
As investors, we must glean crucial information about the companies on our radar when repositioning our portfolios. InvestingPro's 'Data Explorer' allows you to search for all the data you need among...
Forget inflation predictably floating around 1.5% as in the last decade.Does this mean this paradigm shift will see inflation consistently print at 4% going forward? Not necessarily. But it sure means...
US economic activity in the fourth quarter remains set for a sharp slowdown vs. Q3, but the pace of expected growth has strengthened recently, based on updated nowcasts.Output for Q4 is estimated at...
Stocks finished flat yesterday, following the slightly stronger-than-expected retail sales and weaker PPI data. Overall, yields and the dollar rose, which helped hold the S&P 500 to a gain of only...
It is easy to get carried away and attempt to time a raging bull market But that is the opposite of what a wise investor should do, according to the great Benjamin Graham Ultimately, having a 'margin...
In February 2023, we wrote this article. The article walks through Michael Kantrowitz’s HOPE model. HOPE, or Housing, New Orders (ISM), Corporate Profits, and Employment, provides a handy...
Stocks rallied following the CPI report, as falling energy prices offset the rise in the net benefit of health insurance and other medical impacts. Energy and gasoline prices fell sharply, and so did...
Focus shifts to the key inflation data due today This data will play a pivotal role in deciding the year-end rally's fate Decline in shelter inflation has continued, increasing odds of a...
Stocks finished yesterday's session lower ahead of CPI report. Expectations are for headline CPI to increase by 0.1% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, down from September’s increase of 0.4%...