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In January 2023 the clues appeared to be aligning in favor of an end to the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes. It was a false dawn – the Fed lifted its target rate four times in subsequent...
This will be one of those weeks with significant risks quietly lurching in the background. Again, the biggest of those risks are the Treasury auctions, which haven’t been going particularly...
Restrictive monetary conditions, from higher yields and tighter lending conditions, are the Fed’s “Waterloo.”If you don’t remember, the “Battle of Waterloo” was...
The US 10-Year Treasury yield briefly crossed above the 5% mark yesterday — the highest since 2007 — before settling at 4.98%, based on Treasury.gov data.For buy-and-hold investors, the...
Stocks experienced a turbulent day on Thursday after Fed’s Powell contributed to market volatility Investors were already grappling with rising bond yields, the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict,...
Yesterday was one of those days when Jay Powell should have passed on its latest interview session. The message was vague, and he didn’t seem to have many answers at times.What is clear to me is...
Risk off Remains the Dominant ThemeIt was “risk off” again first thing this morning as Europe’s leading indexes fell along with US index futures following Wednesday’s selling....
Stocks finished sharply lower as rates reached new cycle highs on the long end of the curve, and the yield curve steepened. This led to a drop of about 1.3% on the S&P 500, bringing the index down...
Yesterday was a busy day for stocks, as rates exploded to the upside following the hot retail sales report. This led to a sharp decline in the morning for stocks, only for the declines to be erased...
Bloomberg recently penned a great piece on the “Law of Unintended Consequences.” To wit: “There is only one true law of history, and that is the law of unintended consequences. In...
5 Stories Impacting Gold Forex Stocks This Week:1. Israel-Hamas Conflict and impact on markets 2. US Earnings Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) 3. US Retail Sales Reports 4. US Fed Chair...
Initial signs from earnings suggest that EPS growth bottomed last quarter Going ahead, it looks like the rebound could continue into next year Meanwhile, majority of the stocks in S&P 500 remain...
Stocks were up yesterday by around 1.1% on the S&P 500, but we have gone nowhere now in a week, so the bulls are making no progress. The question in front of us is which way the index will break,...
US dollar has continued to gain ground after taking a breather on the weekend Meanwhile, both crude oil and gold have experienced minor corrections following their significant surges Another price...
After years of zero interest rates, such an abrupt tightening is bound to break something.The main questions are: what, when, and where does something break? When rates are low credit is cheap and so...