Currency Forecast

Within 24 hours we may or may not know the identity of the 47th president of the United States, but FX options markets have priced in a respectful level of exceptionally high volatility over the...

The U.S. dollar faces uncertainty with elections and Fed decisions ahead. Key support at 104 will be vital for the dollar's direction amid rising volatility. Election outcomes could significantly...

Markets are seemingly scaling back from a few Trump trades, and we suspect the next two days can see some abnormal swings in US Dollar crosses due to tighter volatility conditions ahead of a closely...

I am not exaggerating when I tell you that I get hundreds of emails a day from forex traders asking me why didn’t this trade work out, why didn’t this trade work out and it is constantly the same...

It’s been busy in FX markets with surprisingly strong 3Q growth in Europe and an aggressive tax-and-spend budget from the UK Labour government. Eurozone rates and the EUR/USD could stay more...

Growth figures for 3Q are published in the US and eurozone today. German CPI is also expected to have re-accelerated, but the impact on the euro may be limited. In the UK, Chancellor Reeves announces...

Key U.S. and eurozone data could set the tone for EUR/USD ahead of the election. Fed's rate decision and GDP updates may drive volatility in the currency pair. Traders should brace for big moves, as...

The proximity to the US election can favour more deleveraging in FX, raising risks that less liquid currencies will face the pressure reserved for Trump-risk proxies. The US macro calendar picks up...

The US dollar lost some ground yesterday on a correction lower in Treasury yields, but upside risks from the US election persist. Donald Trump’s seemingly stronger momentum should translate to higher...

This is the first BRICS summit since Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the UAE joined the bloc earlier this year. Among many things on the agenda is the issue of reducing reliance on the US dollar in...

The EUR/USD pair was a tad higher during the first half of the European session, but just like the previous day the small gains could prove to be short-lived as the US dollar continues to strengthen...

Inflation data from the UK sparked speculation of more rate cuts by the BoE. This has put GBP/USD bears on alert. With the pair near 1.30, traders are watching for a potential breakout towards...

A strong U.S. economy and geopolitical risks are key drivers for the US dollar's current trajectory. Differing central bank approaches globally favor the dollar amid potential trade policy...

USD: Beige Book is probably the biggest threat to the dollar FX markets seem to be positioning for a Trump victory in next month's US presidential election. October seems to have been a good month...