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Tight supply could limit near-term upside for Nvidia but gen AI story still has legs - Raymond James

Published 08/16/2023, 09:20 PM
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Raymond James analysts hiked the price target on Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock by $50 to $500 per share.

While expectations aren’t really low, they believe Nvidia stock could continue to move higher on “a more modest beat/raise.”

The analysts also argue that the current AI expenditure surge is driving a noteworthy imbalance in favor of GPU demand over supply.

“H100 ramps are in early stages (public cloud instances still in preview at GCP; generally available at Azure/AWS only in recent weeks), which should remain a tailwind to ASPs,” they said in a note.

However, they also reminded investors about TSMC’s recent comments about tight supply through the end of 2024.

“We believe current demand/supply imbalance will extend order visibility through 1H24, and see further upside to estimates as supply conditions ease. We believe valuation is justified given AI/ML dominance, Software/Services opportunity, and upcoming Auto inflection,” the analysts concluded.

Nvidia is due to report on Wednesday, August 23, after market close.

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