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GLOBAL MARKETS-European shares fall, dollar edges up, investors wait for dovish Fed hints

Published 08/27/2020, 04:07 PM
Updated 08/27/2020, 04:10 PM
©  Reuters
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* Graphic: 2020 asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
* Reuters Live Markets blog: LIVE/

By Elizabeth Howcroft
LONDON, Aug 27 (Reuters) - European shares opened lower on
Thursday and the dollar was slightly higher, as investors
focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve Chair's speech at the
virtual Jackson Hole conference later in the session.
Wall Street hit new record highs on Wednesday and the MSCI
world share index also rose to its highest ever, with the
endless supply of cheap cash from central banks pushing up
big-cap tech companies. But the rally petered out in the Asian session, with an
element of caution coming from the United States sanctioning
China over military action in the disputed South China Sea.
The MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks
shares in 49 countries, was broadly flat on the day at 0723 GMT,
while the MSCI's main European Index .MSER was down 0.1%.
The pan-European STOXX 600 was down 0.1%, but still close to
two-week highs .STOXX .
Market focus is now squarely on the virtual Jackson Hole
conference, where Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is
expected to drop policy hints when he speaks at 0910 EDT (1310
GMT). "While we expect the Fed to shy away from more radical
easing measures, such as explicit controls on government bond
yields, we believe Powell will likely outline other dovish
measures," Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global
Wealth Manager, wrote in a note to clients.
"These could include a move toward average inflation
targeting, giving the central bank more leeway to allow
inflation to overshoot the 2% target while keeping rates pegged
close to zero," he said.
The Fed has already cut interest rates to zero, started
bond-buying and approved a massive lending programme.
Its balance sheet has expanded by as much as $3 trillion
since the start of the pandemic - far more than that of the
European Central Bank and Bank of Japan.
The dollar ticked up after two consecutive days of falling.
Against a basket of currencies, it was up 0.1% at 92.955 =USD .
The riskier Aussie AUD=D3 and Kiwi dollars NZD=D3 gained
versus the U.S. dollar, while the euro was slightly lower at
$1.1823 EUR=EBS .
Australia's Victoria state — epicentre of the nation's
second wave of COVID-19 infections — reported its lowest one-day
rise in new cases in nearly two months. The offshore Chinese yuan CNH=EBS hit a 7-month high
versus the dollar, with the market apparently undeterred by the
rising tensions between China and the United States.
European bond yields fell, with Germany's benchmark 10-year
Bund yield at -0.438% DE10YT=RR .
Oil prices were mixed, with Brent crude LCOc1 futures for
October, which expire on Friday, up 0.2% at $45.73 a barrel by
0742 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1
futures were down 0.1% at $43.34 a barrel.
Hurricane Laura, a massive hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico,
has pushed the market higher this week, but the storm is not
expected to affect supplies much because oil and product
inventories are high. Gold prices fell as investors took profits before Powell's
speech, with spot gold down 0.5% to $1,944.55 per ounce by 0745
GMT. Also in focus is the Republican National Convention. U.S.
President Donald Trump will speak live from the White House on
Thursday.

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