👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued stocks to buy right nowSee Undervalued Stocks

Equity positioning declined last week, remains in a tight range: Deutsche Bank

Published 10/28/2024, 09:20 PM
© Reuters.
US500
-

Investing.com -- According to Deutsche Bank analysts, aggregate equity positioning declined last week but remains within a narrow range observed over the past two months.

The bank states that current positioning sits "slightly above neutral" with a z-score of 0.25, placing it in the 58th percentile.

Deutsche Bank says that discretionary investors showed reduced engagement, with positioning dropping to the lower end of its yearly range (z-score 0.42, 70th percentile).

They add that systematic strategies, on the other hand, saw relatively little change in positioning, maintaining a z-score of 0.30, or 57th percentile.

Notably, "total net call volume" declined, driven by reduced activity in index options, while single-stock and ETF option volumes remained flat, according to the bank, with sector-specific trends revealing that net call volume decreased in Mega-Cap Growth & Tech and Financials but edged higher in cyclicals.

Meanwhile, defensive sectors and energy positioning is said to have stayed stable. Deutsche Bank notes that S&P 500 skew, a measure of market sentiment, rose last week.

Investor sentiment shifted, with the "bull minus bear spread" dropping to near-neutral, its lowest level in 11 weeks, said the bank, adding that bullish responses hit a six-month low, while bearish and neutral responses increased.

Within systematic strategies, "vol control funds" marginally increased their equity exposure, while "CTAs kept their equity longs flat." However, CTAs trimmed bond positions, reduced dollar shorts, and increased gold longs.

Sector-specific positioning is said to have remained varied. Utilities rose to the 90th percentile, while MCG & Tech, Consumer Staples, and Real Estate saw declines but stayed above average.

Meanwhile, the bank says Healthcare positioning lagged well below average (z-score -0.36, 40th percentile).

The analysts added that risk parity funds maintained flat equity exposure but increased allocations to commodities. However, they cut bond and TIPS exposure as correlations across asset classes rose, signaling growing caution.

Deutsche Bank expects positioning to remain volatile, closely tied to shifts in investor sentiment and asset correlations.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.