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FOREX-Chinese yuan surrenders some gains; yen climbs as growth fears return

Published 08/14/2019, 04:46 PM
Updated 08/14/2019, 04:50 PM
© Reuters. FOREX-Chinese yuan surrenders some gains; yen climbs as growth fears return
DXY
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* Chinese yuan weak after one-week jump the day before
* Japanese yen retraces losses to trade higher
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds minor changes to context)
By Olga Cotaga
LONDON, Aug 14 (Reuters) - China's offshore yuan gave up
some of its earlier gains on Wednesday as weaker-than-expected
economic data tempered the optimism generated by a U.S. decision
to delay tariffs on Chinese imports.
The enthusiasm ebbed more broadly, as well. The safe-haven
Japanese yen strengthened again, a sign that risk appetite
remains fragile. The yen fell on Tuesday after the U.S,
announcement.
The fall in the yuan and the rise in yen mirrored analysts'
views that the delay in tariffs, although encouraging, wasn't
even close to resolving the U.S.-China trade war.
Chinese economic data, meanwhile, showed that the world's
second-largest economy continued to slow. Industrial output rose
in July at the slowest pace in more than 17 years.
"The lack of visibility on trade war outlook means that
yesterday's price action (rise in yuan, fall in yen) is unlikely
to translate into a long-lasting trend," ING analysts said,
urging clients not to "get carried away".
The offshore yuan had jumped to a one-week high against the
dollar on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump backed off
his Sept. 1 deadline for imposing 10% tariffs on remaining
Chinese imports, delaying duties on cellphones, laptops and
other consumer goods. The announcement came after renewed trade
discussions between U.S. and Chinese officials.
But it fell back 0.4% against the dollar to 7.0360
CNH=EBS , still more than 7 to the dollar, the level it reached
last week when the 10% tariffs were announced.
China fixed the onshore yuan at 7.03, "the only sign so far
of China making any concessions" to the United States, said
Esther Reichelt, an analyst at Commerzbank.
The Japanese yen rose 0.4% against the dollar to 106.33
JPY=EBS , up from Tuesday's one-week low point.
"The mid-term trend is for yen gains, because the United
States has not changed its tough stance on China," said Shuntaro
Ikeshima, chief manager of forex and financial products trading
at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking Co.
"There was a lot of short-covering overnight, but in Asia
the market quickly ran into real demand to buy yen. Once you
added the Chinese data, this managed to keep the yen firm."
Elsewhere, major currencies were little changed. The dollar
index, which is down around 1% since the start of August, was
flat around 97.8 .DXY . Investors were watching the Treasury
yield curve, which is close to inverting for the first time
since 2007.
An inversion of the curve, when short-dated bonds yield more
than longer-dated, is a recession warning.


The euro was flat at $1.1180 EUR=EBS despite weaker
second-quarter German gross domestic product data. Moreover, the
year-on-year figure was higher than economists polled by Reuters
predicted.
Traders are waiting for the first estimate of eurozone GDP
data, due at 0900 GMT. A Reuters poll forecasts that
second-quarter GDP growth remained unchanged at 0.2%
quarter-on-quarter and at 1.1% year-on-year.
Sterling was also steady, last flat at $1.2056 GBP=D3 , and
little changed against the euro at 92.73 pence EURGBP=D3 .
However, current levels suggest investors aren't willing to take
the pound away from the multi-year lows it reached last week.


<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Yuan ticks lower https://tmsnrt.rs/2YNVA6s
China industrial output https://tmsnrt.rs/2YOpAiC
US 2-10 yield curve https://tmsnrt.rs/2YKMUxT
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