On Thursday, Jefferies maintained a Buy rating on Parsons Corp . (NYSE: NYSE:PSN) and increased the price target to $130.00 from the previous $125.00. The firm's assessment is based on the company's year-to-date (YTD) organic growth and future revenue prospects. Parsons Corp. has reported a significant organic growth rate of 26% for the year, leading to an updated guidance of over 22% growth expected for the full year.
The company's robust financial position is highlighted by a $9 billion backlog and a $13 billion unbooked pipeline. Additionally, with a win rate of over 70%, there is an anticipation of sustained double-digit revenue growth, which surpasses the firm's estimated 8% and 7% growth for the years 2025 and 2026, respectively.
Despite the positive outlook, the firm notes that Critical Infrastructure (CI) margins, currently at 7.1% year-to-date, should be monitored. These margins are somewhat constrained by legacy joint ventures, which, if excluded, would place margins around 10%. However, there is an expectation of margin improvement through 2025 and 2026 as legacy programs come to an end.
The analysis further considers the potential impact of additional mergers and acquisitions, along with a forecast of 25 basis points per year of margin expansion and pipeline conversion. With these factors in play, Jefferies projects a 15% upside to Parsons Corp. shares, relative to their base estimate of $130.00 per share. This reflects confidence in the company's ability to outperform the market expectations and continue its growth trajectory.
In other recent news, Parsons Corporation reported record third-quarter results, with revenues hitting $1.8 billion, marking a 28% increase year-over-year. This robust growth was accompanied by a 31% rise in adjusted EBITDA, prompting the company to raise its full-year guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Strategic acquisitions such as BlackSignal Technology and BCC Engineering have bolstered the company's capabilities, contributing to its strong performance.
The Federal Solutions segment saw a notable 42% increase in revenue, while the Critical Infrastructure segment grew by 10%. Despite facing a $23.5 million write-down, the company is transitioning away from legacy contracts to focus on core design and program management roles.
Parsons Corporation's future outlook is also optimistic, with the company raising its fiscal 2024 guidance. It now expects revenue to fall between $6.6 billion and $6.8 billion, and adjusted EBITDA to be between $590 million and $620 million. The company also forecasts a total revenue growth of just under 13% for 2025, with acquisitions expected to contribute over $200 million in revenue.
InvestingPro Insights
Parsons Corp.'s strong performance, as highlighted in the article, is further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $11.68 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the industry. Parsons has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with a 28.35% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, aligning with Jefferies' observation of significant organic growth.
InvestingPro Tips reinforce the positive outlook for Parsons. One tip indicates that net income is expected to grow this year, which complements the firm's projection of sustained double-digit revenue growth. Additionally, 9 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in Parsons' financial performance.
The stock's strong performance is evident in its price movements, with a remarkable 94.52% total return over the past year and a 75.41% return year-to-date. This aligns with the article's mention of potential upside to Parsons' shares.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 17 additional tips for Parsons Corp., providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.
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