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G1 Therapeutics shares retain Buy rating after trial setback

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 06/24/2024, 11:08 PM

On Monday, G1 Therapeutics shares (NASDAQ:GTHX) maintained its Buy rating from TD Cowen, despite recent clinical trial results. The company's Phase III PRESERVE-2 study of Cosela in first-line Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC) did not meet the primary overall survival (OS) endpoint.

The analyst from TD Cowen noted that the outcome was a disappointment but emphasized that since the TNBC study results were not factored into their estimates initially, the valuation of the company remains unaffected for its potential in treating Extensive-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer (ES-SCLC) alone.

The analyst stressed the importance of G1 Therapeutics' need for effective cost controls and continued commercial execution. The company's focus on ES-SCLC is seen as a critical factor in maintaining its market value. Despite the setback in the TNBC study, the positive outlook for G1 Therapeutics is based on its current commercial activities and the expected performance of its treatments in other cancer types.

G1 Therapeutics' Cosela, which did not achieve its primary goal in the recent study, is part of the company's efforts to develop treatments that provide a significant benefit to patients with various forms of cancer. The company is expected to continue its work in the field, with an emphasis on managing costs and ensuring that its commercial operations run smoothly.

The analyst's reiteration of a Buy rating indicates a belief in the company's underlying value and the potential of its existing drug portfolio. The focus remains on the opportunities presented by ES-SCLC, which is a key area for G1 Therapeutics.

The financial markets will continue to monitor G1 Therapeutics' progress, particularly in regard to its strategies for cost management and the commercial success of its products. The company's performance in these areas will be crucial as it moves forward from the results of the PRESERVE-2 study.

In other recent news, G1 Therapeutics disclosed mixed results from different trials of its cancer drug, trilaciclib. The Phase 3 PRESERVE 2 trial for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) did not meet the primary endpoint of overall survival. However, the drug showed a consistent safety profile and reduced severe neutropenia rates.

On the other hand, positive Phase 2 results were reported when trilaciclib was used in combination with a TROP2 ADC in patients with metastatic TNBC, showing an improvement in median overall survival and a reduction in adverse events.

In financial developments, G1 Therapeutics reported a 34% increase in net sales year-over-year in their first-quarter earnings call for 2024, maintaining net sales guidance of $60 million to $70 million for the year. The company also secured a licensing deal with Pepper Bio that could yield up to $135 million in payments.

Following the TNBC trial results, CEO Jack Bailey stated that the company would now focus on expanding its small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) business and exploring other applications for trilaciclib.

As part of its strategy, G1 Therapeutics is discontinuing certain investments and making targeted headcount reductions to streamline operations and extend its cash runway, aiming for profitability in the second half of 2025. The company is also seeking partners outside the U.S. to increase the global use of COSELA® (trilaciclib). These are among the recent developments affecting G1 Therapeutics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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