GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares suffer fresh spill as virus damage deepens

* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
* S&P 500 futures, Nikkei fall in early trade
* US extends social distancing guidelines to end of April
* Treasury yields fall further as central banks ease
* Dollar down for the moment, oil under pressure

By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, March 30 (Reuters) - Asian shares slid on Monday and
oil prices took another tumble as fears mounted that the global
shutdown for the coronavirus could last for months, doing untold
harm to economies.
"We continue to mark down 1H20 global GDP forecasts as our
assessment of both the global pandemic's reach and the damage
related to necessary containment policies has increased," said
JPMorgan economist Bruce Kasman.
They now predict global GDP could fall at a 10.5% annualised
rate in the first half of the year.
There was much uncertainty about whether funds would have to
buy or sell for month and quarter end to meet their benchmarks,
many of which would have been thrown out of whack by the wild
market swings seen over March.
E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 skidded 1.2% right
from the bell, and Japan's Nikkei .N225 3.2%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS eased 0.2%, while South Korea .KS11 shed 2.7%.
Central banks have mounted an all-out effort to bolster
activity with rate cuts and massive asset-buying campaigns,
which has at least eased liquidity strains in markets.
Canada's central bank on Friday surprised many with an
emergency rate cut to 0.25% and a program of quantitative
easing, while New Zealand policy makers on Monday launched a
loan program for corporates to meet liquidity needs.
Rodrigo Catril, a senior FX strategist at NAB, said the main
question for markets was whether all the stimulus would be
enough to help the global economy withstand the shock.
"To answer this question, one needs to know the magnitude of
the containment measures and for how long they will be
implemented," he added. "This is the big unknown and it suggests
markets are likely to remain volatile until this uncertainty is
resolved."
It was not encouraging, then, that British authorities were
warning lockdown measures could last months.
While President Donald Trump had talked about reopening the
U.S. economy for Easter, on Sunday he extended guidelines for
social restrictions to April 30. Japan on Monday expanded its entry ban to include citizens
travelling from the United States, China, South Korea and most
of Europe. NOT DONE YET
Bond investors looked to be bracing for a long haul with
yields at the very short end of the Treasury curve turning
negative and those on 10-year notes US10YT=RR dropping a steep
26 basis points last week to last stand at 0.66%.
That drop has combined with efforts by the Federal Reserve
to pump more U.S. dollars into markets, and dragged the currency
off recent highs.
Indeed, the dollar =USD suffered its biggest weekly
decline in more than a decade last week. USD/
Against the yen, the dollar was pinned at 107.44 JPY= ,
well off the recent high at 111.71. The euro was firm at $1.1126
EUR= after rallying more than 4% last week.
"Ultimately, we expect the USD will soon reassert itself as
one of the strongest currencies," argued analysts at CBA, noting
the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency made it a
countercyclical hedge for investors.
"This means the dollar can rise because of the deteriorating
global economic outlook, irrespective of the high likelihood the
U.S. is also in recession."
For now, the dollar's retreat provided a fillip for gold,
which was up 0.3% on Monday at $1,622.50 an ounce XAU= . GOL/
But it has been little help for oil as Saudi Arabia and
Russia show no signs of backing down in their price war. O/R
Brent crude LCOc1 futures lost $1.45 to $23.48 a barrel,
while U.S. crude CLc1 fell 91 cents to $20.60.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>