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Truist cuts Albany International target to $85, maintains Buy

Published 11/01/2024, 05:52 AM
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On Thursday, Truist Securities adjusted its outlook on Albany International Corp (NYSE:AIN), a company specializing in advanced textiles and materials processing. The firm reduced its price target on the company's stock to $85 from the previous $91 while still maintaining a Buy rating.

The revision follows Albany International's third-quarter results for 2024, which were in line with expectations after an early October pre-announcement. The company's forecast for 2024 has been narrowed, but concerns have been raised regarding future revenue growth and margin expansion within its Albany Engineered Composites (AEC) segment. These concerns stem from recent production cuts in the LEAP engine program and uncertainties in the execution of defense classified programs.

The analyst from Truist Securities noted the need to adjust estimates for 2025 and 2026, citing the potential impact of these factors on Albany International's performance. Management's non-committal stance on LEAP volumes and the current 2026 AEC revenue target suggests that a cautious approach may be taken when presenting the 2025 outlook.

The report also highlighted ongoing revenue pressures in the European market as an area to monitor. These pressures, alongside the challenges in the AEC segment, appear to have influenced Truist's decision to moderate its price target for Albany International. Despite these adjustments, the firm's Buy rating indicates a continued positive view of the company's stock in the longer term.

In other recent news, Albany International Corp. has seen significant changes in financial forecasts, leadership, and operational developments. Analysts from TD Cowen and Truist Securities have lowered the company's stock price target to $81 and $91 respectively, following a decrease in Albany International's 2024 sales and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts. This is largely due to charges related to various programs in the company's Salt Lake City facility, causing a drop in sales and EPS guidance for the calendar year 2024.

In terms of leadership, Merle Stein, a seasoned professional in the paper and pulp industries, has been appointed as the President of the Machine Clothing business segment. Furthermore, Albany International has amended its bylaws and streamlined board procedures, setting the Board's composition at nine directors.

On the operational front, Albany International reported strong performance in the second quarter of 2024 with a surge in revenue, primarily attributed to the acquisition of Heimbach. The Engineered Composites segment secured over $200 million in new orders, contributing to a total of $900 million in new orders for the year, and adding to a sizable $1.2 billion backlog.

Despite challenges with the LEAP program due to Boeing (NYSE:BA)'s situation, Albany International has maintained overall profitability and expects margin improvements in the second half of the year due to operational improvements and program mix.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent InvestingPro data provides additional context to Truist Securities' analysis of Albany International Corp (NYSE:AIN). The company's market capitalization stands at $2.11 billion, with a P/E ratio of 19.33, suggesting a moderate valuation relative to earnings. This is further supported by an InvestingPro Tip indicating that AIN is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, with a PEG ratio of 0.62 for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024.

Despite the challenges noted in the Truist report, AIN has demonstrated financial resilience. The company's revenue grew by 15.93% in the last twelve months, with a healthy gross profit margin of 34.47%. An InvestingPro Tip highlights that AIN has maintained dividend payments for 24 consecutive years, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns even in challenging times.

However, investors should note that the stock has experienced recent price pressure, with a 20.37% decline in the past month and trading at 68.32% of its 52-week high. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip suggesting the stock has fared poorly over the last month and is trading near its 52-week low.

For those seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for AIN, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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