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Trip.com stock target increased, buy rating on strong growth prospects

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/19/2024, 09:44 PM
TCOM
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Tuesday, Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang increased the stock price target for Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM) to $80 from the previous $72, while reiterating a Buy rating.

The revision follows Trip.com's recent quarterly earnings, which surpassed expectations for both the third quarter results and the fourth quarter guidance, indicating an accelerated growth trajectory. The company's performance was bolstered by robust travel demand from both domestic and international markets.

Trip.com's latest financial report revealed a record operating profit margin (OPM) of 34%, underscoring the company’s operating leverage. The analyst anticipates that Trip.com will continue to benefit from various structural factors. These include deeper market penetration in lower-tier cities and the expansion of demographic groups, as well as a shift in consumer spending towards experiences.

The company is expected to continue gaining market share and outperform within the domestic sector due to a relatively benign competitive environment. On the international front, the analyst foresees ongoing growth in outbound travel. This optimism is backed by the recovery of travel capacity and Trip.com's increasing global market share, particularly in East and Southeast Asia.

Structural improvements such as a favorable revenue mix, enhanced international profitability, and the adoption of artificial intelligence for efficiency gains are seen as key drivers for Trip.com's future margin expansion.

The analyst's outlook for Trip.com is positive, expecting these factors to contribute significantly to the company's performance going forward. The raised price target to $80 reflects confidence in Trip.com's ability to capitalize on these growth opportunities.

In other recent news, Trip.com has demonstrated robust growth in its Q3 earnings report, with a 16% year-over-year increase in net revenue to RMB 15.9 billion. The company's adjusted EBITDA stood at RMB 5.7 billion, and it maintains a substantial cash position with RMB 86.9 billion in cash and cash equivalents. Trip.com's executives have expressed confidence in the ongoing integration of AI to enhance user experiences and operational efficiency.

In addition, Trip.com's outbound hotel bookings have surpassed pre-pandemic levels, with accommodation reservation revenue growing by 22% year-over-year. The company has repurchased 6 million shares year-to-date and is considering future capital returns, including dividends and buybacks in 2025, contingent on performance and board approval.

These recent developments underscore a thriving travel market in China and a strategic focus on leveraging AI for future growth. The company anticipates normalized growth in inbound and outbound travel and plans to expand its presence in Asia. Despite expectations of increased marketing expenses in Q4 due to seasonal factors, Trip.com is poised for sustained growth in the evolving travel industry landscape.

InvestingPro Insights

Trip.com Group Limited's (NASDAQ:TCOM) strong performance, as highlighted in the article, is further supported by recent InvestingPro data. The company's revenue growth of 50.61% over the last twelve months aligns with the analyst's observation of accelerated growth. This impressive growth is complemented by a robust gross profit margin of 81.48%, which InvestingPro Tips identify as "impressive gross profit margins."

The company's financial health is underscored by another InvestingPro Tip, which notes that Trip.com "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet." This strong financial position supports the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and navigate market challenges.

Trip.com's market performance has been noteworthy, with a one-year price total return of 72.98%, reflecting investor confidence in the company's strategy and execution. The stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 20.49, which InvestingPro Tips suggest is "a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth," potentially indicating an attractive valuation for investors.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Trip.com Group Limited, providing further insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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