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MGP Ingredients shares outlook steady as company remains focused on branded business growth

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/25/2024, 12:30 AM
MGPI
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On Monday, Truist Securities maintained a Buy rating on shares of MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ:MGPI), with a steady price target of $75.00. The $858 million market cap company, which has seen its stock decline nearly 60% over the past year, is facing leadership changes with the departure of CEO David Bratcher.

According to InvestingPro data, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week low. In response to this development, current CFO Brandon Gall will step in as Interim CEO and President starting January 1. Donn Lux is set to replace Karen Seaberg as Chairman of the Board and will oversee the search for a new CEO.

The company has confirmed its financial guidance for the fiscal year 2024, with expectations for capital expenditures to total $72 million, a reduction from the previously forecasted $78 million. This adjustment comes amidst industry challenges, though InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 6.46 and sufficient cash flows to cover interest payments.

The analyst from Truist Securities commented on the timing of Bratcher's tenure, which began at a period when the spirits category experienced a slowdown and the market for aged whiskey weakened. Bratcher, who transitioned from the Luxco branded side of the business, aimed to expedite MGP Ingredients' shift towards a primarily branded business model. Despite his departure, the firm believes that this strategic objective remains intact.

Truist Securities expressed a neutral stance regarding the immediate impact of the CEO's exit on the company's current challenges. However, the firm continues to hold an optimistic view on MGP Ingredients' potential for a return to profitable growth.

This recovery is anticipated to align with the normalization of the industry, which is expected to occur around late 2025. Trading at a P/E ratio of 8.09, the stock appears undervalued according to InvestingPro Fair Value metrics, supporting Truist Securities' reaffirmed Buy rating. Discover more insights and 13 additional ProTips for MGPI in the comprehensive Pro Research Report.

In other recent news, MGP Ingredients has undergone significant leadership changes, following the stepping down of David Bratcher from his role as President & CEO. Brandon Gall, the current CFO, has taken over as interim President & CEO, and Donn Lux has been appointed Chairman of the Board. As part of the company's recent developments, TD Cowen has revised the price target for MGP Ingredients, lowering it from $50 to $45, while maintaining a hold rating on the stock.

The company has also reported mixed third quarter 2024 earnings, with consolidated sales decreasing by 24% to $161.5 million, but net income increasing by 82% to $23.9 million. Furthermore, MGP Ingredients has acquired Luxco as part of its strategy to become a premier branded spirits company. Despite foreseeing a 35% decline in Distilling Solutions segment sales and a 50% drop in gross profits for 2025, the company expects growth in the Ingredient Solutions segment and the Branded Spirits segment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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