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Amplitude stock target raised, stays neutral on operational turnaround

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/08/2024, 09:36 PM
AMPL
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On Friday, Piper Sandler, a financial services firm, adjusted its outlook on shares of Amplitude Inc (NASDAQ:AMPL), a digital optimization company, by increasing its price target to $11.00, up from the previous $9.00. Despite the price target hike, the firm has decided to maintain a Neutral rating on the company's shares.

The adjustment comes as Amplitude is experiencing what is described as an operational turnaround. The third quarter showed promising signs, with Amplitude achieving an $8 million net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) build, an improvement over the $5 million build in the previous quarter. This performance is particularly noteworthy considering the headwinds the company faced from international distributors in the second half of the year.

The company's growth was primarily attributed to expansions among existing customers. Moreover, the calculated Remaining Performance Obligations (cRPO) growth improved year-over-year for the third consecutive quarter, marking a return to low double-digit growth for the first time in a year.

In light of these developments, Piper Sandler has slightly raised its estimates for Amplitude. The new price target reflects a more optimistic view of the company's stabilizing demand fundamentals. However, it was also noted that the current growth rate, which is below 10%, is unlikely to significantly alter the prevailing investor sentiment, which remains skeptical.

Amplitude's performance and the revised outlook by Piper Sandler underscore the company's efforts to navigate through operational challenges and to capitalize on growth opportunities within its existing customer base.

In other recent news, digital analytics platform Amplitude reported an 8% year-over-year growth in its Q2 2024 financial results, with revenues reaching $73.3 million. This increase in revenue is accompanied by a $5 million rise in the company's annual recurring revenue (ARR), now standing at $290 million.

Despite challenges such as Russian sanctions and high churn due to legacy contract resets, Amplitude has adjusted its annual guidance lower on non-GAAP operating profit, but expects to achieve free cash flow positivity for the year.

Amplitude has also announced the acquisition of Command AI, a startup specializing in AI-driven user assistance technology. The integration, planned for early next year, aims to enhance customer experiences and drive business impact by providing personalized user support through various in-product tools. The acquisition will see Command AI's team joining Amplitude, with a continued commitment to serving their existing customers.

Furthermore, Wade Chambers has been appointed as Amplitude's first Chief Engineering Officer, a move expected to advance the company's product development initiatives and enhance its integrated platform offerings. Chambers' appointment follows several strategic moves by Amplitude, such as the introduction of a simplified platform experience known as Amplitude Made Easy and the debut of Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW) Native Amplitude.

These recent developments reflect Amplitude's commitment to growth and customer satisfaction, despite external challenges such as the macroeconomic environment and geopolitical issues. The company's leadership remains focused on aligning operations with long-term strategic objectives.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Amplitude Inc's financial position and market performance. The company's market capitalization stands at $1.3 billion, reflecting its current valuation in the market. Amplitude's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2023 was $292.54 million, with a revenue growth of 8.29% over the same period. This aligns with Piper Sandler's observation of growth below 10%, which they noted might not significantly alter investor sentiment.

InvestingPro Tips highlight some interesting aspects of Amplitude's financial health. The company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility as it navigates its operational turnaround. Additionally, liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggesting a solid short-term financial position. These factors may contribute to the company's ability to focus on growth and expansion among existing customers, as mentioned in the article.

However, it's worth noting that Amplitude is not currently profitable over the last twelve months, although analysts predict the company will be profitable this year. This projection aligns with the operational improvements and ARR build discussed in the article.

Investors considering Amplitude might be interested to know that InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for this stock, providing a more comprehensive analysis for those looking to delve deeper into the company's prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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