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There have been some positive surprises in economic data recently, and markets are busy trying to digest what this means for the Fed. Terminal rates are now priced at over 5% in the US and around 4%...
Cash is no longer trash, courtesy of sharply higher interest rates. Trailing yields on risky assets are looking up too. The source for the change in payout rates, of course, is a run of rate hikes by...
The week of February 13th is significant, with CPI, PPI, retail sales, a ton of Fed speakers, a 20-year bond auction, and a 30-year TIPS auction. Last week, rates broke out after a 30-year bond...
Through the recent gyrations, markets seem to lack the conviction needed to push new lows in rates. The resulting range-trading environment brings lower rates of volatility and better risk appetite....
In our last market update, I wrote about how market technicals were improving. That improvement has continued, and the market is displaying strength that we have not seen in over a year. Here is a...
It will be another busy week for the market, with CPI on Tuesday, the Fed on Wednesday, retail sales on Thursday, and BOE and ECB meeting on Thursday. Additionally, on Monday, there will be a 3-Year...
It is a big week, with the CPI report on Thursday and a bunch of government bond auctions later this week. That means rates will be on the move, and word that the China zero covid policy will remain...
Stocks finished the day higher yesterday , with the S&P 500 rising by around 1.2%. It was a curiously odd rally because the China markets were smashed earlier, with Hong Kong dropping more than 6%...
It will easily be the most challenging week of October, with a PPI report Wednesday morning, the FOMC minutes Wednesday afternoon, and the CPI report Thursday morning. On top of that, there will be a...
Soaring yields demonstrate investors believe Mester's path to higher interest rates The three major averages extended downtrend Nonfarm Payrolls will create inflation expectations This past January, I...
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