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FOREX-Yen up and dollar clinging on as China's Houston response awaited

Published 07/24/2020, 10:00 AM
Updated 07/24/2020, 10:10 AM
© Reuters.
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* Dollar steadies, safe havens up after U.S. shuts China
consulate
* China to respond on Friday - Global Times Editor
* Strong euro has dollar headed for largest weekly drop
since June
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, July 24 (Reuters) - The safe-haven yen advanced
to a one-month high on Friday as deteriorating Sino-U.S.
relations heightened investor anxiety, while a surging euro put
the beleaguered dollar on track for its worst week in a month.
China has said it "must" retaliate after the U.S. ordered
its Houston consulate to shut this week, amid allegations of
spying. The editor of China's Global Times said on Twitter that
Beijing will announce countermeasures on Friday and ask one U.S.
consulate to close. Earlier on Thursday U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said
Washington and its allies must use "more creative and assertive
ways" to press the Chinese Communist Party to change its ways,
calling it the "mission of our time." While trading volumes were lightened by a public holiday in
Japan, the palpable tensions were enough to rouse the yen from a
range it has kept for weeks.
The yen JPY= rose 0.3% to 106.51, its strongest since late
June. The Australian and New Zealand dollars were also off from
multi-month highs and the Chinese yuan struggled for headway.
"The general concern is that any escalation in U.S-China
tensions is bad and is putting the trade deal at risk," said Kim
Mundy, an FX analyst at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in
Sydney.
"If we see China retaliating today, our view is that Aussie
and the other growth-linked commodity currencies can fall," she
said, with a dip likely to shove the Aussie back in the 68 cent
to 70 cent range it held for several weeks.
The Australian dollar AUD=D3 drifted higher to $0.7112,
and is up about 1.7% for the week, but roughly 1% below a
15-month high touched on Wednesday. AUD/
The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 was at $0.6641, just under a
7-month high of $0.6690 touched on Thursday.
The safe-haven Swiss franc CHF= also hit a four-month peak
of 0.9243 per dollar. Weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data
had rattled U.S. markets overnight. CHENGDU?
Sino-U.S. ties have deteriorated over issues ranging from
the novel coronavirus pandemic, which began in China, to Beijing
trade and business practices, its territorial claims in the
South China Sea and its clampdown on Hong Kong.
A tit-for-tat consulate closure is shaping as among the most
likely Chinese reply to the Houston consulate eviction.
A source told Reuters on Wednesday that China was
considering shutting the U.S. consulate in Wuhan.
The Chinese yuan, a barometer of Sino-U.S. relations, fell
overnight after the South China Morning Post reported that the
U.S. consulate in Chengdu may be shuttered.
The yuan CNH=D3 last sat at 7.0058 per dollar. Other Asian
currencies from the South Korean won KRW= to the Thai baht
THB= and Singapore dollar SGD= were also gently pressured.
Elsewhere the tearaway euro EUR=EBS remained a tower of
strength since busting through chart resistance in the afterglow
of Europe's leaders agreeing on a coronavirus rescue package.
It has gained 1.6% this week, its best since late June, and
3.4% for the month so far to sit at $1.1615, just below a
21-month high hit overnight.
Sterling GBP= hung on to early-week gains at $1.2749.
Besides China's next move, investors are looking to a slew
of Purchasing Managers Index figures due across Europe and the
U.S. later on Friday for a read on economic recovery progress.
Focus is also on the next U.S. fiscal rescue package, which
is deadlocked in Congress while a month-end deadline looms as
some unemployment benefits are due to expire. "The concern is that a failure to get this away will impact
consumer sentiment at a time when U.S. data is starting to miss
the mark," said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne
brokerage Pepperstone.

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