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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares bask in "very good" U.S-China trade talks and Brexit deal hopes

Published 10/11/2019, 04:59 PM
Updated 10/11/2019, 05:00 PM
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares bask in "very good" U.S-China trade talks and Brexit deal hopes

* MSCI world equity index up 0.4%
* Wall Street futures up 0.4-0.6%
* Sterling holds onto gains after 2% jump
* U.S.-China negotiations "very, very good" - Trump
* Oil soars after explosion on Iranian oil tanker
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Wilson
LONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - World shares on Friday basked in
optimism for a detente in the U.S.-China trade war and hopes
that Britain was moving closer to a smooth exit from the
European Union.
MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks shares
in 47 countries, gained 0.4% to head towards its first weekly
gain in four weeks. The broader Euro STOXX 600 .STOXX also
jumped 0.6%, led by a 1.1% gain for the main index in Frankfurt
.GDAXI
Asian shares had rallied earlier, with an index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS climbing 1.3%.
The positive mood was set to spread to the U.S., too, where Wall
Street futures gauges EScv1 NQcv1 were up between 0.4%-0.6%.
The improvement in appetite for riskier bets came after U.S.
President Donald Trump on Thursday called the first day of trade
talks with China in over two months "very, very good."
The talks between U.S. and Chinese negotiators fed hopes
that the two sides could dial down the 15-month trade war that
has upset financial markets and supply chains across the world,
and delay a U.S. tariff hike scheduled for next week.
Trump reiterated plans to meet China's Vice Premier Liu He
on Friday at the White House.
Expectations of progress on Thursday had pushed up U.S.
markets, with Wall Street .DJI .SPX gaining around 0.6%.
Yet investors said markets were hoping for, at best, a deal
limited in scope, and they noted that sunny rhetoric had in the
past failed to translate into more meaningful moves.
"I would caution that we have been here before, where we
have seen positive talk," said Mike Bell, global market
strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
"It's possible they will be able to do a smaller deal around
tariffs, where there is some room for movement."
Hopes of progress in the trade war buoyed riskier currencies
and pinned down the dollar. The Chinese yuan CNY= traded at
7.0941 per dollar, its strongest since Sept. 23.
Against a basket of currencies the greenback was a touch
softer at 98.655 .DXY.

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"GLIMMER OF HOPE" ON BREXIT
Signs of progress in Brexit, the other long-running
geopolitical saga stressing out the markets, also emboldened
investors.
After meeting British Prime Minister Boris Johnson for
talks, Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar said on Thursday that a
deal to let Britain leave the European Union in an orderly
fashion could be sealed by the end of the month. Varadkar called the talks "constructive," while the two
leaders said in a joint statement that they could "see a pathway
to a possible deal".
But it remained unclear what the pair agreed on.
Sterling GBP=D3 held onto its gains after soaring 2% a day
earlier, its largest daily percentage gain in seven months, to
trade little changed at $1.2437.
But with Britain due to leave the world's biggest trading
bloc on Oct. 31, the fate of Brexit is still in the balance.
Market players said investors remained skittish. Moves in
sterling reflected a tendency to jump on any signs of progress.
"We are moving to a glimmer of hope, rather than strong
expectation that things will get done," Tim Drayson, head of
economics at Legal & General Investment Management.
Yet Drayson said that any deal struck between Dublin and
London would then face the hurdle of the British parliament,
even after securing agreement from the European Union.
"I think the odds are that we don't reach an agreement, but
I'm not expecting a crash out on October 31."
Irish government bonds rallied, outperforming their euro
zone peers, after Varadkar's comments. Stocks in Dublin .ISEQ
jumped 1.8%, to hit their highest in 2-1/2 months.
"We still think that markets are probably underpricing the
likelihood of a hard Brexit scenario," said Salman Baig, a
cross-asset investment manager at Unigestion.
In commodities, oil prices jumped by 2% after Iranian news
agencies said a state-owned oil tanker was struck by two
missiles in the Red Sea near Saudi Arabia, raising the prospect
of supply disruptions from a crucial producing region.
Global benchmark Brent crude LCOc1 was up around 2.1% at
$60.36 per barrel.
For Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock
markets, please click on: LIVE/

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