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AI theme remains on track, buy the dip in S&P 500

Published 04/27/2024, 07:06 PM
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In the latest Daily Market Notes report to investors, analysts at Navellier & Associates said strong earnings reports from Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), have reinvigorated the AI sector outlook and the current earnings season.

“Stocks are having the best week of the year, bouncing back from the first major pullback since the strong rally that started in late October. Once again, big tech is leading the way, with the Magnificent 7 up 3.3% on the day this morning, and up 4.4% on the week,” the analysts highlighted.

Despite cautious remarks from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) impacting Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock earlier, reassurances from major tech firms about significant investments in AI infrastructure led to NVDA’s rebound to $873.

The return of optimism was helped by a strong print from Alphabet, which not only surpassed earnings expectations but also announced a significant share buyback and a new dividend, pushing its shares to record highs with a 10% increase today.

“It was very important for big tech earnings to come in strong, as they not only have a major weight in the indexes, they have an even bigger portion of the overall earnings,” the analysts said.

However, not all tech companies fared well, they continued.

Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) reported disappointing top-line results and lower-than-expected margins, lacking significant exposure to AI. Its stock fell by 11.2%.

In the broader market, fears of high Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation numbers eased as both headline and core PCE for March aligned with forecasts, providing relief to the bond market.

Meanwhile, the US 10-year Treasury note and the 2-year note saw slight decreases in yields, reflecting a market adjustment to a prolonged inflation reduction path.

On the consumer front, the latest University of Michigan survey indicated stable inflation expectations but a slight dip in consumer sentiment, remaining near a three-year high.

Sector-specific performance varied, with Exxon (CVX) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX) (NYSE:XOM) experiencing declines after missing earnings expectations, contrasting with the minimal impact of energy stocks on broader indices.

“Overall, the strong recovery this week supports the buy-the-dip mentality, and the important AI theme remains on track, all with continuing uncertainty about when the Fed will cut rates,” the analysts said.

“With employment strong, and the stretched consumers still spending - April personal spending came in +0.8%, above the 0.6% forecast - market momentum has returned to the upside,” they added.

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