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Harris advances against Trump in 6 swing states, per Bloomberg poll data

Published 07/31/2024, 05:58 PM
© Reuters

Vice President Kamala Harris has made gains against Republican Donald Trump in six of the seven key swing states, according to a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll of registered voters released on Tuesday.

The online poll, conducted from July 24-28, indicates that Harris holds an 11-point lead over Trump in Michigan. She also has a narrow 2-point advantage in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada.

Meanwhile, Trump leads Harris by 4 points in Pennsylvania and by 2 points in North Carolina, while they are tied in Georgia.

Wisconsin is the only state where Trump has reduced his deficit compared to Biden's previous performance in a similar poll.

The poll's margin of error varies: 3 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania; 4 points in Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin; and 5 points in Nevada.

In a previous Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll from July 1-5, Trump led Biden by 3 points in Arizona, 1 point in Georgia, 3 points in Nevada, 3 points in North Carolina, and 7 points in Pennsylvania. Biden led in Michigan by 5 points and in Wisconsin by 3 points.

The margin of error for the July 1-5 poll was 3 points in Georgia and Pennsylvania, 4 points in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, and 5 points in Nevada.

Since President Joe Biden's exit from the presidential race, Vice President Kamala Harris has seen gains across nearly every demographic group, according to Financial Times, citing comparisons of surveys from various pollsters.

Her support has notably increased among Black, Latino, young, and female voters, as well as independents. The only demographic where her support has slightly decreased is among voters over the age of 50.

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