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FOREX-Euro holds gains, dollar soft after ECB expands stimulus

Published 06/05/2020, 10:37 AM
Updated 06/05/2020, 10:40 AM
© Reuters.
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* Euro near 3-month high, on course for third week of gains
* Safe-haven currencies soft on optimism over economic
recovery
* Hong Kong dollar at strong end of its dollar peg range
* U.S. jobless rate expected to soar near 20%
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Hideyuki Sano
TOKYO, June 5 (Reuters) - The euro held on to big gains on
Friday after the European Central Bank expanded its stimulus
more than expected to prop up an economy dealing with its worst
recession since World War Two.
The euro's gains supported appetite for riskier currencies
in Asia and helped push the U.S. dollar near three-month lows
against a basket of currencies.
The ECB increased its emergency bond purchase scheme by 600
billion euros to 1.35 trillion and extended the scheme to
mid-2021. Markets had expected an expansion of 500 billion
euros. The euro fetched $1.1338 EUR= , having risen to as high as
$1.1362 on Thursday, its loftiest level in almost three months.
On the week, the single currency has risen 2.1% and is set
to clinch a third straight week of gains.
Investor confidence in the currency has also grown after
Germany last month threw its weight behind the idea of a
European Union recovery fund, breaking away from its long-held
tradition to resist moves towards fiscal integration in the
currency bloc. "Recent actions by both the EU Commission, as well as the
ECB have reduced tail risks around the euro area economic
outlook," said Zach Pandl, co-head of global foreign exchange at
Goldman Sachs in New York.
"Europe's main challenge is its incomplete fiscal policy
architecture. However, European institutions are making
important changes to correct those weaknesses. And those include
the ECB's bond purchases as well as the EU recovery fund
proposal, which we think will go a long way towards improving
fiscal policy coordination in the euro area," he added.
Against the yen, the common currency changed hands at
123.620 EURJPY= , having risen to a 13-month high overnight.
On the Swiss franc, another safe haven currency, it hit a
five-month high on Thursday and last stood at 1.0830 EURCHF= .
The dollar index =USD is on course for its third
consecutive week of losses at 96.808, staying near its lowest in
nearly three months.
Against the yen, the dollar traded at 109.11 JPY= , briefly
touching a two-month high of 109.235.
Unwinding bets on safe-haven currencies reflected broad
optimism in financial markets as easing social distancing
restrictions supported economic recovery hopes.
The U.S. weekly jobless claims report showed the number of
Americans filing for benefits dropped below 2 million last week
for the first time since mid-March, even though that is still
three times larger than their peak during the global financial
crisis. Official U.S. employment data due later on Friday is
expected to show nonfarm payrolls fell by 8 million in May after
a record 20.537 million plunge in April.
The unemployment rate is forecast to rocket to 19.8%, a
post-World War Two record, from 14.7% in April.
"The market is risk-on despite historic levels of jobless
rate. But everyone is still wary that the mood could change, and
putting tight stop-loss orders. There is no strong conviction,"
said Bart Wakayabashi, Tokyo Branch Manager of State Street
Bank.
The Australian dollar AUD=D4 , often seen as a risk proxy
in the currency market, stood at $0.6947, having hit a
five-month high of $0.6987 on Thursday.
The Hong Kong dollar rose to 7.7500 per U.S. dollar, the
strong end of its 7.75-7.85 trading band, for the first time
since May 21, prompting the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to
intervene in the market. The gains came even amid rising worries about the future of
the city after China's move last month to impose national
security legislation.
Hong Kong police on Thursday pepper-sprayed some protesters
who defied a ban to stage candlelight rallies in memory of
China's bloody 1989 Tiananmen Square democracy crackdown.
(Editing by Sam Holmes and Jacqueline Wong)

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