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FOREX-Dollars bought as stimulus hopes ebb; Aussie sinks on easing hints

Published 10/15/2020, 12:33 PM
Updated 10/15/2020, 12:40 PM
© Reuters.
GBP/USD
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USD/JPY
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DX
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* Yen near 2-week peak, dollar firm
* AUD drops after RBA chief opens door to bond buying, rate
cut
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Oct 15 (Reuters) - The dollar inched higher on
Thursday as rising coronavirus cases and scant progress towards
a U.S. stimulus deal unsettled investors, while the Aussie
dropped to a one-week low after the central bank chief hinted of
a possible rate cut or bond buying.
France has imposed curfews as autumn brings a steep rise in
infections, and the fear is that a new wave of lockdowns could
stall the global recovery just as hopes for U.S. stimulus before
the Nov. 3 election are fading. The safe-haven yen JPY= stayed just shy of a two-week peak
on the dollar. The greenback held or gained ground elsewhere,
except against sterling which had jumped on signs of progress in
Brexit talks. GBP/
The Australian dollar AUD=D3 lost half a percent to
$0.7129 after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe
mentioned bond buying and a small rate cut as among options for
policy support during the next stages of recovery. Lowe said Australia's 10-year yield was among the highest in
the developed world and the central bank was studying what
benefits could come from buying longer-dated debt. He said it
was possible to move rates from a record low 0.25% to 0.1%.
"These are pretty explicit policy options," said Westpac FX
analyst Sean Callow. "There was enough vibe in there for the
market to lean towards (thinking) that they will do something."
Slightly better-than-expected Australian employment data did
little to shift those expectations. Money markets 0#YIB are priced for a November rate cut and
bond markets think the RBA could start buying further along the
curve, with 10-year bond futures YTCc1 up 8.5 ticks to their
highest since April. AUD/
Meanwhile, U.S. stimulus plans appear bogged down.
"Getting something done before the election and executing on
that would be difficult," U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin
said on Wednesday, adding that he and Democrat House Speaker
Nancy Pelosi are still "far apart" on their spending priorities.
Delay has supported the dollar for a few weeks, by weighing
on investors' sentiment and boosting demand for safer assets.
But a full blown rally has so far been staved off by the
expectation that spending happens eventually. Against a basket
of currencies the greenback was steady at 93.428 =USD .
"Do not rule out a more defensive tilt as we approach the
U.S. elections, providing some support for the dollar," OCBC
Bank strategist Terence Wu said in a note on Thursday.
Sterling GBP= clung to a 0.5% overnight gain as the
European Union and Britain were set to prolong Brexit talks past
a mid-October deadline to try to bridge stubborn gaps holding up
a new trade agreement, according to sources and documents.
European Union leaders meeting in Brussels on Thursday will
pressure Britain for concessions, saying a trillion euros worth
of trade could be sunk if London does not budge on fisheries,
fair competition and solving disputes. "The right noises seem to be heard from key officials," said
Chris Weston, head of research at broker Pepperstone.
"Given the rising concerns of COVID 19 into a cold and wet
European winter, the last thing either side need, but more so
the UK, is a move to WTO tariffs," he said. "The prospect of a
Free Trade Agreement (FTA), therefore, seems high."
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 12:30PM (0430 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.1749 $1.1745 +0.03% +4.80% +1.1756 +1.1741
Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 105.2800 105.1150 +0.11% -3.12% +105.2900 +105.1500
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 123.68 123.50 +0.15% +1.42% +123.7700 +123.4800
Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9132 0.9135 +0.02% -5.59% +0.9138 +0.9131
Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 1.3011 1.3010 +0.02% -1.89% +1.3029 +1.3008
Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.3147 1.3151 +0.00% +1.23% +1.3158 +1.3146
Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 0.7129 0.7163 -0.47% +1.60% +0.7169 +0.7124
NZ NZD=D3 0.6646 0.6660 -0.21% -1.23% +0.6662 +0.6642
Dollar/Dollar


All spots FX=
Tokyo spots AFX=
Europe spots EFX=
Volatilities FXVOL=
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX


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