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FOREX-Dollar edges up ahead of potentially market-moving Trump trade speech

Published 11/12/2019, 05:20 PM
Updated 11/12/2019, 05:24 PM
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar edges up ahead of potentially market-moving Trump trade speech
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Elizabeth Howcroft
Nov 12 (Reuters) - The dollar was stronger against the yen
and Swiss franc on Tuesday as traders grew optimistic ahead of a
speech by U.S. President Donald Trump, during which he is
expected to again postpone imposing tariffs on European Union
autos.
Trump's speech to the Economic Club of New York is expected
to be market-moving as he is scheduled to discuss U.S. trade
policy. Currency traders will also be listening for hints about
the Trump administration's long-running trade war with China,
and any progress towards the "phase one" trade deal.
"The market has obviously been quite wary about whether a
phase one deal is on or not - a lot of hopes are being placed on
this speech one way or another," said Jane Foley, senior forex
strategist at Rabobank.
"We just don't know which way he's going to go," she said,
as Trump can be "very impulsive" and therefore difficult to
predict.
"I suspect that he will provide just enough encouragement to
indicate that there is reason to be hopeful, without probably
saying that it's a done deal," Foley said.
Versus a basket of currencies, the global dollar index
.DXY rose 0.1%.
The dollar strengthened against safe haven currencies: it
was up 0.2% against both the Japanese yen JPY=EBS and the
Swiss franc CHF=EBS in early London trading.
The euro was down by 0.1% against the dollar at $1.10225
EUR=EBS , close to the four-week low of $1.10165 it fell to
last week.
The New Zealand dollar was down 0.5% at 0.6335 versus the
U.S. dollar, only slightly recovered from the low of $0.6323 it
reached last week NZD=D3 after a central bank survey showed
the country's near-term inflation expectations dropped,
increasing traders' expectations of a rate cut this week.
The offshore Chinese yuan was flat against the dollar at
around 7, a threshold it crossed for the first time in August
CNH=EBS . The yuan weakened on political unrest in Hong Kong,
as well as because of weak economic data in mainland China.
In Hong Kong, riot police fired tear gas at a university
campus on Tuesday, a day after a protester was shot and a man
set on fire in some of the most dramatic unrest to rock the
Chinese-ruled city in more than five months. The Chinese foreign ministry said that stopping the violence
is the most important thing and that the United States, United
Kingdom and other countries should not interfere. The dollar was boosted last week when comments from the
Chinese trade ministry were interpreted as a sign of progress on
rolling back China-U.S. tariffs, causing traders to dump
safe-haven currencies like the yen. However, uncertainty hit again on Friday when Trump said
that he had not agreed to reduce tariffs.

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