🎈 Up Big Today: Find today's biggest gainers (some over 50%!) with our free screenerTry Stock Screener

Here's what market analysts are saying as Trump wins US election

Published 11/06/2024, 06:40 PM
Updated 11/06/2024, 07:02 PM
© Reuters
JD
-

Investing.com -- The Associated Press has called the race for former President Donald Trump, confirming his return to the White House.

Trump secured victories in the crucial states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, which together contributed 29 electoral votes, pushing him past the 270 needed to win. By 5:34 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Trump had amassed a total of 277 electoral votes.

Before the race call, Trump addressed his supporters in Florida, Trump said they would bring about “a new golden age for America.”

The Republican Party is also expected to seize control of the Senate, though there are still votes left to count.

Joined by his family and his vice-presidential pick, JD Vance, Trump told the supporters in West Palm Beach on Wednesday morning, “This will truly be the golden age of America - that's what we have to have. This is a magnificent victory for the American people that will allow us to make America great again.”

In the Sun Belt, Trump secured a strong lead in Nevada, while the race remained close in Arizona. As expected, he swept conservative states from Florida to Idaho, while Harris secured liberal states from New York to California, according to CBS projections.

Harris, who was expected to address supporters on election night at Howard University in Washington, D.C., did not appear. She has not made any public statement so far.

With control of Congress, Trump would face fewer obstacles in passing key legislative initiatives, including his plans for mass deportations and substantial tax cuts.

Analysts comment on Trump's return to the White House

Citi: "Already, the first Trump presidency had profound consequences for the EU, and the policy proposals presented and discussed during the campaign suggest a second term could be at least as transformative. On the basis of the Republican manifesto and various Trump speeches and interviews, four policy areas with spillovers to Europe and the rest of the world stand out: trade, security, energy, and fiscal policy. We expect highly uncertain but potentially mixed growth implications, and on balance, lower inflation and policy rates in Europe.”

UBS: “Technology, utilities, and financials are among the equity sectors we see as attractive. In technology, Trump’s win could lead to heightened fears about the impact of tariffs on earnings for hardware and semiconductor companies. But we do not believe this will outweigh the structural growth story over the medium term. AI infrastructure spending remains robust as businesses experiment with AI use cases and companies race to stake out leading positions. We expect semiconductor components needed for AI will likely remain supply-constrained into next year, supporting pricing.”

Wolfe Research: “House control is relevant to markets primarily in terms of fiscal questions—tax cuts, IRA rollback, ACA tax credits, Medicaid cuts, and deficits/rates. If Republicans fall short in the House, that would be bullish for clean energy and for healthcare names levered to Medicaid/ACA, and bearish for REITs and MLPs based on sector-specific tax risks.”

Berenberg: “The consensus view is that the European defense sector will react negatively to a Trump victory given Trump’s ambition to rapidly broker peace in Ukraine, while Harris is viewed more as a status quo candidate, based on our investor interactions. Weakness on signs of a Trump victory would offer an attractive entry point into a structural growth sector, in our view. A Trump presidency would add further impetus to accelerate European defense spending, as evidenced by his first term in 2017-21. We reiterate our positive stance on the sector.”

ING: “Donald Trump’s victory will ensure a lower tax environment that should boost sentiment and spending in the near term. However, promised tariffs, immigration controls and higher borrowing costs will increasingly become headwinds through his presidential term.”

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.