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UPDATE 1-Philippines inflation quickens for first time in 6 months in November

Published 12/05/2019, 09:29 AM
Updated 12/05/2019, 09:32 AM
UPDATE 1-Philippines inflation quickens for first time in 6 months in November

* Nov CPI 1.3% vs Oct's 0.8%
* Rise in alcohol and tobacco prices pushed up Nov CPI
* Year-to-date inflation at 2.5%, within cbank target

MANILA, Dec 5 (Reuters) - The Philippines' inflation
accelerated to 1.3% in November from a year earlier, matching
expectations, as the costs of alcoholic beverages, tobacco and
utilities rose at a faster pace, the statistics agency said on
Thursday.
That was higher than the previous month's 0.8% climb, but it
matched the median forecast in a Reuters poll.
Last month's data brought year-to-date average inflation to
2.5%, which was well within the central bank's 2%-4% target for
the year.
Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and fuel
items, was 2.6% November, unchanged from October.
Prices are expected to gather pace after October, due in
part to fading base effects.
"The November inflation of 1.3% is within BSP forecast and
accords with the outlook of a gradual pickup to target midpoint
in 2020-21," the central bank bank said in a text message,
adding that its Board will consider new data and potential risks
at its next meeting on Dec. 12.
Inflation had peaked at a near-decade high of 6.7% in
September and October last year.
It has since slowed, allowing the central bank to cut
interest rates PHCBIR=ECI by a total of 75 basis points (bps)
to 4.0% this year, reversing some of last year's rate hikes,
which totalled 175 bps.
The central bank also reduced the amount of cash that banks
must hold as reserves by 400 bps this year, bringing the ratio
to 14%, consistent with its medium-term plan to bring it to
single-digit levels.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin Diokno has
said a fourth interest rate cut was still possible next week at
the central bank's last policy meeting of the year.
"We think that BSP will hold off on monetary easing in the
meantime given that inflation trajectory is on the path as
expected by the central bank," said Robert Dan Roces, economist
at Security Bank in Manila.



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