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Chart Analyst Peter Brandt Revises His Stance on Bitcoin’s Trajectory

Published 04/29/2024, 09:20 PM
Updated 04/29/2024, 09:45 PM
© Reuters Chart Analyst Peter Brandt Revises His Stance on Bitcoin’s Trajectory
BTC/USD
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  • Peter Brandt, CEO of Factor LLC, suggests Bitcoin may have peaked.
  • Brandt’s revised outlook is based on exponential decay theory.
  • Bitcoin’s recent peak at $73,835 on March 14, 2024, aligns with Brandt’s observation.

Factor LLC CEO and popular chart analyst Peter Brandt revised his previously optimistic stance on Bitcoin’s trajectory. Brandt projected a bullish trend, suggesting that it would last until September 2025 and propelling Bitcoin to highs of $200,000. However, he now believes Bitcoin may have already peaked.

Brandt based his revised outlook on “exponential decay,” a statistical pattern referring to the consistent reduction of an amount by a set percentage over time. He observed that “Bitcoin has historically traded within an approximately 4yr bull/bear cycle, often associated with the halving events. There have been three major bull market cycles since the initial bull cycle and each cycle has been 80% less powerful than its predecessor in terms of the price multiple gained.”

Considering this pattern, Brandt argued that Bitcoin’s recent peak of $73,835 on March 14, 2024, fits the expected outcome of exponential decay. Hence, he opined…

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